SDE-Net: Equipping Deep Neural Networks with Uncertainty Estimates
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Abstract (arXiv)
Uncertainty quantification is a fundamental yet unsolved problem for deep learning. The Bayesian framework provides a principled way of uncertainty estimation but is often not scalable to modern deep neural nets (DNNs) that have a large number of parameters. Non-Bayesian methods are simple to implement but often conflate different sources of uncertainties and require huge computing resources. We propose a new method for quantifying uncertainties of DNNs from a dynamical system perspective. The core of our method is to view DNN transformations as state evolution of a stochastic dynamical system and introduce a Brownian motion term for capturing epistemic uncertainty. Based on this perspective, we propose a neural stochastic differential equation model (SDE-Net) which consists of (1) a drift net that controls the system to fit the predictive function; and (2) a diffusion net that captures epistemic uncertainty. We theoretically analyze the existence and uniqueness of the solution to SDE-Net. Our experiments demonstrate that the SDE-Net model can outperform existing uncertainty estimation methods across a series of tasks where uncertainty plays a fundamental role.
Key facts. Cited by 75 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 24 Aug 2020.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 23; 2022: 8; 2023: 12; 2024: 10; 2025: 11; 2026: 11.
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50 most cited of 75 All 75 (JSON)
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- 2025Predicting the Energy Landscape of Stochastic Dynamical System via Physics-informed Self-supervised Learning24 Feb 2025
- 2025Modeling Neural Networks with Privacy Using Neural Stochastic Differential Equations12 Jan 2025
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- 2024DutyTTE: Deciphering Uncertainty in Origin-Destination Travel Time Estimation23 Aug 2024
- 2024Fully Bayesian Differential Gaussian Processes through Stochastic Differential Equations12 Aug 2024
- 2024FedCal: Achieving Local and Global Calibration in Federated Learning via Aggregated Parameterized Scaler24 May 2024
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- 2024Graph Neural Aggregation-diffusion with Metastability29 Mar 2024
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- 2022The Neural Process Family: Survey, Applications and Perspectives1 Sep 2022
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- 2022E2V-SDE: From Asynchronous Events to Fast and Continuous Video Reconstruction via Neural Stochastic Differential Equations15 Jun 2022
50 newest of 75 All 75 (JSON)
- 2021Efficient and Accurate Gradients for Neural SDEscited by 68
- 2021Learning Probabilistic Ordinal Embeddings for Uncertainty-Aware Regressioncited by 58
- 2022Robust Calibration with Multi-domain Temperature Scalingcited by 39
- 2021Infinitely Deep Bayesian Neural Networks with Stochastic Differential Equationscited by 38
- 2024Stable Neural Stochastic Differential Equations in Analyzing Irregular Time Series Datacited by 35
- 2022The Neural Process Family: Survey, Applications and Perspectivescited by 23
- 2021Climate Modeling with Neural Diffusion Equationscited by 20
- 2022End-to-End Stochastic Optimization with Energy-Based Modelcited by 19
- 2021Policy Analysis using Synthetic Controls in Continuous-Timecited by 18
- 2021Sample Efficient Reinforcement Learning via Model-Ensemble Exploration and Exploitationcited by 17
- 2021Collaborative Uncertainty in Multi-Agent Trajectory Forecastingcited by 17
- 2021I Find Your Lack of Uncertainty in Computer Vision Disturbingcited by 16
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- 2026Continuous-Time Machine Learning: A Unified Mathematical Perspective15 Sep 2026
- 2026Learning Deterministic and Stochastic Forced Hamiltonian Systems20 Aug 2026
- 2026NeuralChaos: Optimal Adapted Approximation of Square Integrable Predictable Processes15 Jul 2026
- 2026Hypergraph Neural Stochastic Diffusion: An SDE Framework for Uncertainty Estimation8 Jul 2026
- 2026Neuronal Stochastic Attention Circuit (NSAC) for Probabilistic Representation Learning25 May 2026
- 2026Diffusion-Based Stochastic Operator Networks for Uncertainty Quantification in Stochastic Partial Differential Equations16 May 2026
- 2026A numerical study into neural network surrogate model performance for uncertainty propagation15 May 2026
- 2026Learning Surrogate LPV State-Space Models with Uncertainty Quantification31 Mar 2026
- 2026Stochastic Port-Hamiltonian Neural Networks: Universal Approximation with Passivity Guarantees10 Mar 2026
- 2026Semantic Tube Prediction: Beating LLM Data Efficiency with JEPA26 Feb 2026
- 2026Nansde-net: A neural sde framework for generating time series with memory9 Feb 2026
- 2025Generative Modeling of Clinical Time Series via Latent Stochastic Differential Equations20 Nov 2025
12 newest of 71 All 71 (JSON)