Convergence of Sparse Variational Inference in Gaussian Processes Regression
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Abstract (arXiv)
Gaussian processes are distributions over functions that are versatile and mathematically convenient priors in Bayesian modelling. However, their use is often impeded for data with large numbers of observations, N, due to the cubic (in N) cost of matrix operations used in exact inference. Many solutions have been proposed that rely on M ll N inducing variables to form an approximation at a cost of O(NM2). While the computational cost appears linear in N, the true complexity depends on how M must scale with N to ensure a certain quality of the approximation. In this work, we investigate upper and lower bounds on how M needs to grow with N to ensure high quality approximations. We show that we can make the KL-divergence between the approximate model and the exact posterior arbitrarily small for a Gaussian-noise regression model with Mll N. Specifically, for the popular squared exponential kernel and D-dimensional Gaussian distributed covariates, M=O((log N)D) suffice and a method with an overall computational cost of O(N(log N)2D(loglog N)2) can be used to perform inference.
Key facts. Cited by 53 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 1 Aug 2020.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 9; 2022: 6; 2023: 8; 2024: 9; 2025: 10; 2026: 11.
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- 2021The Promises and Pitfalls of Deep Kernel Learningcited by 81
- 2024CiteME: Can Language Models Accurately Cite Scientific Claims?cited by 45
- 2023Inducing Point Allocation for Sparse Gaussian Processes in High-Throughput Bayesian Optimisationcited by 32
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- 2021Connections and Equivalences between the Nystr"om Method and Sparse Variational Gaussian Processescited by 17
- 2021Robust Uncertainty Bounds in Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces: A Convex Optimization Approachcited by 14
- 2022Efficient Hyperparameter Tuning for Large Scale Kernel Ridge Regressioncited by 11
- 2023Memory-Based Dual Gaussian Processes for Sequential Learningcited by 11
- 2024COMO: Compact Mapping and Odometrycited by 10
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- 2022Numerically Stable Sparse Gaussian Processes via Minimum Separation using Cover Treescited by 5
- 2024Continuous Bayesian Model Selection for Multivariate Causal Discoverycited by 5
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- 2022Sparse Gaussian Process Hyperparameters: Optimize or Integrate?cited by 4
- 2022Memory Safe Computations with XLA Compilercited by 3
- 2023Fast post-process Bayesian inference with Variational Sparse Bayesian Quadraturecited by 3
- 2023Integrated Variational Fourier Features for Fast Spatial Modelling with Gaussian Processescited by 3
- 2022B'ezier Gaussian Processes for Tall and Wide Datacited by 2
- 2023Evaluation of machine learning architectures on the quantification of epistemic and aleatoric uncertainties in complex dynamical systemscited by 2
- 2023Gradient and Uncertainty Enhanced Sequential Sampling for Global Fitcited by 2
- 2024Recommendations for Baselines and Benchmarking Approximate Gaussian Processescited by 2
- 2025New Bounds for Sparse Variational Gaussian Processescited by 2
- 2025Efficient Transformed Gaussian Process State-Space Models for Non-Stationary High-Dimensional Dynamical Systemscited by 2
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- 2023Efficient Sensor Placement from Regression with Sparse Gaussian Processes in Continuous and Discrete Spacescited by 1
- 2023Pointwise uncertainty quantification for sparse variational Gaussian process regression with a Brownian motion priorcited by 1
- 2024Adjusting Model Size in Continual Gaussian Processes: How Big is Big Enough?cited by 1
- 2026Knowledge Gradient for Preference Learningcited by 1
- 2026Three Costs of Amortizing Gaussian Process Inference with Neural Processescited by 1
- 2021Barely Biased Learning for Gaussian Process Regressioncited by 0
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- 2024Further Understanding of a Local Gaussian Process Approximation: Characterising Convergence in the Finite Regimecited by 0
- 2024Reservoir History Matching of the Norne field with generative exotic priors and a coupled Mixture of Experts -- Physics Informed Neural Operator Forward Modelcited by 0
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- 2025No-Regret Gaussian Process Optimization of Time-Varying Functionscited by 0
- 2026Joint Parameter and State-Space Bayesian Optimization: Using Process Expertise to Accelerate Manufacturing Optimizationcited by 0
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- 2026Scalable Gaussian process inference via neural feature mapscited by 0
50 most cited of 53 All 53 (JSON)
- 2026On Basis Function Selection for Sparse Gaussian Process Regression22 Sep 2026
- 2026Fast rates in Bayesian online learning with approximate posteriors26 Aug 2026
- 2026Sequential sparse Gaussian process quantile regression30 Jun 2026
- 2026Three Costs of Amortizing Gaussian Process Inference with Neural Processes20 May 2026
- 2026Scalable Gaussian process inference via neural feature maps11 May 2026
- 2026Inverse-Free Sparse Variational Gaussian Processes1 Apr 2026
- 2026A Distributed Gaussian Process Model for Multi-Robot Mapping7 Mar 2026
- 2026Incremental Transformer Neural Processes21 Feb 2026
- 2026Joint Parameter and State-Space Bayesian Optimization: Using Process Expertise to Accelerate Manufacturing Optimization4 Feb 2026
- 2026Knowledge Gradient for Preference Learning29 Jan 2026
- 2026Bayesian-LoRA: Probabilistic Low-Rank Adaptation of Large Language Models28 Jan 2026
- 2025No-Regret Gaussian Process Optimization of Time-Varying Functions29 Nov 2025
38 more
- 2025Decentralized Gaussian Process Classification and an Application in Subsea Robotics19 Nov 2025
- 2025Sparse Gaussian Processes: Structured Approximations and Power-EP Revisited3 Jul 2025
- 2025Taking the GP Out of the Loop15 Jun 2025
- 2025Bayesian Data Sketching for Varying Coefficient Regression Models30 May 2025
- 2025Sparse Techniques for Regression in Deep Gaussian Processes16 May 2025
- 2025Low-rank computation of the posterior mean in Multi-Output Gaussian Processes30 Apr 2025
- 2025Adaptive sparse variational approximations for Gaussian process regression4 Apr 2025
- 2025Efficient Transformed Gaussian Process State-Space Models for Non-Stationary High-Dimensional Dynamical Systems24 Mar 2025
- 2025New Bounds for Sparse Variational Gaussian Processes12 Feb 2025
- 2024Scalable Bayesian Optimization via Focalized Sparse Gaussian Processes29 Dec 2024
- 2024Continuous Bayesian Model Selection for Multivariate Causal Discovery15 Nov 2024
- 2024Computation-Aware Gaussian Processes: Model Selection And Linear-Time Inference1 Nov 2024
- 2024Adjusting Model Size in Continual Gaussian Processes: How Big is Big Enough?14 Aug 2024
- 2024CiteME: Can Language Models Accurately Cite Scientific Claims?10 Jul 2024
- 2024Reservoir History Matching of the Norne field with generative exotic priors and a coupled Mixture of Experts -- Physics Informed Neural Operator Forward Model2 Jun 2024
- 2024Further Understanding of a Local Gaussian Process Approximation: Characterising Convergence in the Finite Regime9 Apr 2024
- 2024COMO: Compact Mapping and Odometry4 Apr 2024
- 2024Recommendations for Baselines and Benchmarking Approximate Gaussian Processes15 Feb 2024
- 2023Gradient and Uncertainty Enhanced Sequential Sampling for Global Fit29 Sep 2023
- 2023Pointwise uncertainty quantification for sparse variational Gaussian process regression with a Brownian motion prior29 Sep 2023
- 2023Integrated Variational Fourier Features for Fast Spatial Modelling with Gaussian Processes27 Aug 2023
- 2023Evaluation of machine learning architectures on the quantification of epistemic and aleatoric uncertainties in complex dynamical systems27 Jun 2023
- 2023Memory-Based Dual Gaussian Processes for Sequential Learning6 Jun 2023
- 2023Fast post-process Bayesian inference with Variational Sparse Bayesian Quadrature9 Mar 2023
- 2023Efficient Sensor Placement from Regression with Sparse Gaussian Processes in Continuous and Discrete Spaces28 Feb 2023
- 2023Inducing Point Allocation for Sparse Gaussian Processes in High-Throughput Bayesian Optimisation24 Jan 2023
- 2022Sparse Gaussian Process Hyperparameters: Optimize or Integrate?4 Nov 2022
- 2022Numerically Stable Sparse Gaussian Processes via Minimum Separation using Cover Trees14 Oct 2022
- 2022B'ezier Gaussian Processes for Tall and Wide Data1 Sep 2022
- 2022Memory Safe Computations with XLA Compiler28 Jun 2022
- 2022Improved Convergence Rates for Sparse Approximation Methods in Kernel-Based Learning8 Feb 2022
- 2022Efficient Hyperparameter Tuning for Large Scale Kernel Ridge Regression17 Jan 2022
- 2021How Good are Low-Rank Approximations in Gaussian Process Regression?13 Dec 2021
- 2021Barely Biased Learning for Gaussian Process Regression20 Sep 2021
- 2021Last Layer Marginal Likelihood for Invariance Learning14 Jun 2021
- 2021Gaussian Processes on Hypergraphs3 Jun 2021
- 2021Connections and Equivalences between the Nystr"om Method and Sparse Variational Gaussian Processes2 Jun 2021
- 2021SigGPDE: Scaling Sparse Gaussian Processes on Sequential Data10 May 2021
50 newest of 53 All 53 (JSON)
- 2021The Promises and Pitfalls of Deep Kernel Learningcited by 81
- 2024CiteME: Can Language Models Accurately Cite Scientific Claims?cited by 45
- 2023Inducing Point Allocation for Sparse Gaussian Processes in High-Throughput Bayesian Optimisationcited by 32
- 2021SigGPDE: Scaling Sparse Gaussian Processes on Sequential Datacited by 22
- 2021Last Layer Marginal Likelihood for Invariance Learningcited by 21
- 2021Tighter Bounds on the Log Marginal Likelihood of Gaussian Process Regression Using Conjugate Gradientscited by 20
- 2022Improved Convergence Rates for Sparse Approximation Methods in Kernel-Based Learningcited by 18
- 2021Connections and Equivalences between the Nystr"om Method and Sparse Variational Gaussian Processescited by 17
- 2021Robust Uncertainty Bounds in Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces: A Convex Optimization Approachcited by 14
- 2022Efficient Hyperparameter Tuning for Large Scale Kernel Ridge Regressioncited by 11
- 2023Memory-Based Dual Gaussian Processes for Sequential Learningcited by 11
- 2024COMO: Compact Mapping and Odometrycited by 10
12 most cited of 52 All 52 (JSON)
- 2026On Basis Function Selection for Sparse Gaussian Process Regression22 Sep 2026
- 2026Fast rates in Bayesian online learning with approximate posteriors26 Aug 2026
- 2026Sequential sparse Gaussian process quantile regression30 Jun 2026
- 2026Three Costs of Amortizing Gaussian Process Inference with Neural Processes20 May 2026
- 2026Scalable Gaussian process inference via neural feature maps11 May 2026
- 2026Inverse-Free Sparse Variational Gaussian Processes1 Apr 2026
- 2026A Distributed Gaussian Process Model for Multi-Robot Mapping7 Mar 2026
- 2026Incremental Transformer Neural Processes21 Feb 2026
- 2026Joint Parameter and State-Space Bayesian Optimization: Using Process Expertise to Accelerate Manufacturing Optimization4 Feb 2026
- 2026Knowledge Gradient for Preference Learning29 Jan 2026
- 2026Bayesian-LoRA: Probabilistic Low-Rank Adaptation of Large Language Models28 Jan 2026
- 2025No-Regret Gaussian Process Optimization of Time-Varying Functions29 Nov 2025
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