The Scientific Method in the Science of Machine Learning
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Abstract (arXiv)
In the quest to align deep learning with the sciences to address calls for rigor, safety, and interpretability in machine learning systems, this contribution identifies key missing pieces: the stages of hypothesis formulation and testing, as well as statistical and systematic uncertainty estimation -- core tenets of the scientific method. This position paper discusses the ways in which contemporary science is conducted in other domains and identifies potentially useful practices. We present a case study from physics and describe how this field has promoted rigor through specific methodological practices, and provide recommendations on how machine learning researchers can adopt these practices into the research ecosystem. We argue that both domain-driven experiments and application-agnostic questions of the inner workings of fundamental building blocks of machine learning models ought to be examined with the tools of the scientific method, to ensure we not only understand effect, but also begin to understand cause, which is the raison d'etre of science.
Key facts. Cited by 15 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 24 Apr 2019.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 5; 2022: 1; 2023: 2; 2024: 1; 2025: 4; 2026: 2.
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- 2023Sudden Drops in the Loss: Syntax Acquisition, Phase Transitions, and Simplicity Bias in MLMscited by 121
- 2021How I failed machine learning in medical imaging -- shortcomings and recommendationscited by 37
- 2022Modeling the Machine Learning Multiversecited by 11
- 2021Perspectives on Machine Learning from Psychology's Reproducibility Crisiscited by 9
- 2025STREAM (ChemBio): A Standard for Transparently Reporting Evaluations in AI Model Reportscited by 9
- 2025Rigor in AI: Doing Rigorous AI Work Requires a Broader, Responsible AI-Informed Conception of Rigorcited by 7
- 2021Expected Validation Performance and Estimation of a Random Variable's Maximumcited by 6
- 2023Towards Inferential Reproducibility of Machine Learning Researchcited by 4
- 2021Learning from learning machines: a new generation of AI technology to meet the needs of sciencecited by 3
- 2024Questionable practices in machine learningcited by 3
- 2025Not All Explanations for Deep Learning Phenomena Are Equally Valuablecited by 3
- 2025Not quite Sherlock Holmes: Language model predictions do not reliably differentiate impossible from improbable eventscited by 2
3 more
- 2026MetaRSI / RSI2: A Meta-Recursive Self-Improving System for Recursive Self-Improving Systems Themselvescited by 1
- 2021Bringing Atomistic Deep Learning to Prime Timecited by 0
- 2026Causal Structure is Inducible but Functionally Decoupled: The Routing/Readout Boundary of a Typed Mechanism Librarycited by 0
- 2026MetaRSI / RSI2: A Meta-Recursive Self-Improving System for Recursive Self-Improving Systems Themselves6 Sep 2026
- 2026Causal Structure is Inducible but Functionally Decoupled: The Routing/Readout Boundary of a Typed Mechanism Library12 Aug 2026
- 2025STREAM (ChemBio): A Standard for Transparently Reporting Evaluations in AI Model Reports13 Aug 2025
- 2025Not All Explanations for Deep Learning Phenomena Are Equally Valuable29 Jun 2025
- 2025Rigor in AI: Doing Rigorous AI Work Requires a Broader, Responsible AI-Informed Conception of Rigor17 Jun 2025
- 2025Not quite Sherlock Holmes: Language model predictions do not reliably differentiate impossible from improbable events7 Jun 2025
- 2024Questionable practices in machine learning17 Jul 2024
- 2023Sudden Drops in the Loss: Syntax Acquisition, Phase Transitions, and Simplicity Bias in MLMs13 Sep 2023
- 2023Towards Inferential Reproducibility of Machine Learning Research8 Feb 2023
- 2022Modeling the Machine Learning Multiverse13 Jun 2022
- 2021Bringing Atomistic Deep Learning to Prime Time9 Dec 2021
- 2021Learning from learning machines: a new generation of AI technology to meet the needs of science27 Nov 2021
- 2023Sudden Drops in the Loss: Syntax Acquisition, Phase Transitions, and Simplicity Bias in MLMscited by 121
- 2021How I failed machine learning in medical imaging -- shortcomings and recommendationscited by 37
- 2022Modeling the Machine Learning Multiversecited by 11
- 2021Perspectives on Machine Learning from Psychology's Reproducibility Crisiscited by 9
- 2025STREAM (ChemBio): A Standard for Transparently Reporting Evaluations in AI Model Reportscited by 9
- 2025Rigor in AI: Doing Rigorous AI Work Requires a Broader, Responsible AI-Informed Conception of Rigorcited by 7
- 2021Expected Validation Performance and Estimation of a Random Variable's Maximumcited by 6
- 2023Towards Inferential Reproducibility of Machine Learning Researchcited by 4
- 2021Learning from learning machines: a new generation of AI technology to meet the needs of sciencecited by 3
- 2024Questionable practices in machine learningcited by 3
- 2025Not All Explanations for Deep Learning Phenomena Are Equally Valuablecited by 3
- 2025Not quite Sherlock Holmes: Language model predictions do not reliably differentiate impossible from improbable eventscited by 2
12 most cited of 15 All 15 (JSON)
- 2026MetaRSI / RSI2: A Meta-Recursive Self-Improving System for Recursive Self-Improving Systems Themselves6 Sep 2026
- 2026Causal Structure is Inducible but Functionally Decoupled: The Routing/Readout Boundary of a Typed Mechanism Library12 Aug 2026
- 2025STREAM (ChemBio): A Standard for Transparently Reporting Evaluations in AI Model Reports13 Aug 2025
- 2025Not All Explanations for Deep Learning Phenomena Are Equally Valuable29 Jun 2025
- 2025Rigor in AI: Doing Rigorous AI Work Requires a Broader, Responsible AI-Informed Conception of Rigor17 Jun 2025
- 2025Not quite Sherlock Holmes: Language model predictions do not reliably differentiate impossible from improbable events7 Jun 2025
- 2024Questionable practices in machine learning17 Jul 2024
- 2023Sudden Drops in the Loss: Syntax Acquisition, Phase Transitions, and Simplicity Bias in MLMs13 Sep 2023
- 2023Towards Inferential Reproducibility of Machine Learning Research8 Feb 2023
- 2022Modeling the Machine Learning Multiverse13 Jun 2022
- 2021Bringing Atomistic Deep Learning to Prime Time9 Dec 2021
- 2021Learning from learning machines: a new generation of AI technology to meet the needs of science27 Nov 2021
12 newest of 15 All 15 (JSON)