Diffusion Convolutional Recurrent Neural Network: Data-Driven Traffic Forecasting
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Abstract (arXiv)
Spatiotemporal forecasting has various applications in neuroscience, climate and transportation domain. Traffic forecasting is one canonical example of such learning task. The task is challenging due to (1) complex spatial dependency on road networks, (2) non-linear temporal dynamics with changing road conditions and (3) inherent difficulty of long-term forecasting. To address these challenges, we propose to model the traffic flow as a diffusion process on a directed graph and introduce Diffusion Convolutional Recurrent Neural Network (DCRNN), a deep learning framework for traffic forecasting that incorporates both spatial and temporal dependency in the traffic flow. Specifically, DCRNN captures the spatial dependency using bidirectional random walks on the graph, and the temporal dependency using the encoder-decoder architecture with scheduled sampling. We evaluate the framework on two real-world large scale road network traffic datasets and observe consistent improvement of 12% - 15% over state-of-the-art baselines.
Key facts. Cited by 41 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 6 Jul 2017.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 3; 2022: 6; 2023: 0; 2024: 21; 2025: 5; 2026: 6.
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- 2024Counterfactual Explanations for Deep Learning-Based Traffic Forecastingcited by 3
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- 2024Graph Structure Learning for Spatial-Temporal Imputation: Adapting to Node and Feature Scalescited by 3
- 2025A Modular Multitask Reasoning Framework Integrating Spatio-temporal Models and LLMscited by 3
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- 2026Selective Ambulance Dispatch Under Contextual Travel-Time Uncertainty22 May 2026
- 2026Exploring the Potential of Probabilistic Transformer for Time Series Modeling: A Report on the ST-PT Framework29 Apr 2026
- 2026Safe Urban Traffic Control via Uncertainty-Aware Conformal Prediction and World-Model Reinforcement Learning4 Feb 2026
- 2025PruneGCRN: Minimizing and explaining spatio-temporal problems through node pruning12 Oct 2025
- 2025STRATA-TS: Selective Knowledge Transfer for Urban Time Series Forecasting with Retrieval-Guided Reasoning26 Aug 2025
- 2025A Modular Multitask Reasoning Framework Integrating Spatio-temporal Models and LLMs25 Jun 2025
- 2025TGDT: A Temporal Graph-based Digital Twin for Urban Traffic Corridors25 Apr 2025
- 2025Hierarchical Information-Guided Spatio-Temporal Mamba for Stock Time Series Forecasting14 Mar 2025
- 2024Multi-View Fusion Neural Network for Traffic Demand Prediction24 Dec 2024
29 more
- 2024Graph Structure Learning for Spatial-Temporal Imputation: Adapting to Node and Feature Scales24 Dec 2024
- 2024RDPI: A Refine Diffusion Probability Generation Method for Spatiotemporal Data Imputation17 Dec 2024
- 2024STDCformer: A Transformer-Based Model with a Spatial-Temporal Causal De-Confounding Strategy for Crowd Flow Prediction4 Dec 2024
- 2024Distribution-aware Online Continual Learning for Urban Spatio-Temporal Forecasting24 Nov 2024
- 2024Cross Space and Time: A Spatio-Temporal Unitized Model for Traffic Flow Forecasting14 Nov 2024
- 2024Deep Learning-driven Mobile Traffic Measurement Collection and Analysis14 Oct 2024
- 2024Information propagation dynamics in Deep Graph Networks14 Oct 2024
- 2024Double-Path Adaptive-correlation Spatial-Temporal Inverted Transformer for Stock Time Series Forecasting24 Sep 2024
- 2024Global Context Enhanced Anomaly Detection of Cyber Attacks via Decoupled Graph Neural Networks4 Sep 2024
- 2024Multi-Knowledge Fusion Network for Time Series Representation Learning22 Aug 2024
- 2024Pattern-Matching Dynamic Memory Network for Dual-Mode Traffic Prediction12 Aug 2024
- 2024TCGPN: Temporal-Correlation Graph Pre-trained Network for Stock Forecasting26 Jul 2024
- 2024UrbanLLM: Autonomous Urban Activity Planning and Management with Large Language Models18 Jun 2024
- 2024SAGDFN: A Scalable Adaptive Graph Diffusion Forecasting Network for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting18 Jun 2024
- 2024A Survey on Intelligent Internet of Things: Applications, Security, Privacy, and Future Directions6 Jun 2024
- 2024REST: Efficient and Accelerated EEG Seizure Analysis through Residual State Updates3 Jun 2024
- 2024Equivariant Spatio-Temporal Attentive Graph Networks to Simulate Physical Dynamics21 May 2024
- 2024Counterfactual Explanations for Deep Learning-Based Traffic Forecasting1 May 2024
- 2024NeuroKoopman Dynamic Causal Discovery25 Apr 2024
- 2024LightningNet: Distributed Graph-based Cellular Network Performance Forecasting for the Edge8 Feb 2024
- 2022Application of Graph Neural Networks and graph descriptors for graph classification7 Nov 2022
- 2022Spatial-Temporal Synchronous Graph Transformer network (STSGT) for COVID-19 forecasting31 Oct 2022
- 2022M3FGM:a node masking and multi-granularity message passing-based federated graph model for spatial-temporal data prediction27 Oct 2022
- 2022Topics in Deep Learning and Optimization Algorithms for IoT Applications in Smart Transportation13 Oct 2022
- 2022Granger Causality using Neural Networks7 Aug 2022
- 2022A Graph-based U-Net Model for Predicting Traffic in unseen Cities11 Feb 2022
- 2021Deep diffusion-based forecasting of COVID-19 by incorporating network-level mobility information9 Nov 2021
- 2021MAF-GNN: Multi-adaptive Spatiotemporal-flow Graph Neural Network for Traffic Speed Forecasting8 Aug 2021
- 2021Granger Causality: A Review and Recent Advances5 May 2021
- 2021Granger Causality: A Review and Recent Advancescited by 63
- 2024UrbanLLM: Autonomous Urban Activity Planning and Management with Large Language Modelscited by 13
- 2024REST: Efficient and Accelerated EEG Seizure Analysis through Residual State Updatescited by 12
- 2024A Survey on Intelligent Internet of Things: Applications, Security, Privacy, and Future Directionscited by 10
- 2024SAGDFN: A Scalable Adaptive Graph Diffusion Forecasting Network for Multivariate Time Series Forecastingcited by 8
- 2022A Graph-based U-Net Model for Predicting Traffic in unseen Citiescited by 4
- 2024Double-Path Adaptive-correlation Spatial-Temporal Inverted Transformer for Stock Time Series Forecastingcited by 4
- 2024Counterfactual Explanations for Deep Learning-Based Traffic Forecastingcited by 3
- 2024Cross Space and Time: A Spatio-Temporal Unitized Model for Traffic Flow Forecastingcited by 3
- 2024Graph Structure Learning for Spatial-Temporal Imputation: Adapting to Node and Feature Scalescited by 3
- 2021MAF-GNN: Multi-adaptive Spatiotemporal-flow Graph Neural Network for Traffic Speed Forecastingcited by 2
- 2021Deep diffusion-based forecasting of COVID-19 by incorporating network-level mobility informationcited by 2
12 most cited of 36 All 36 (JSON)
- 2026Geometry-Aware Operator Families for Structured Representation Learning27 Sep 2026
- 2026Beyond the Graph: An Adaptive Meta-Learner Fuses Explainability, Weather, and Dynamics for Robust Bus ETA Prediction14 Sep 2026
- 2026Making AI Scientists Auditable from Evidence to Claim17 Jun 2026
- 2026Selective Ambulance Dispatch Under Contextual Travel-Time Uncertainty22 May 2026
- 2026Exploring the Potential of Probabilistic Transformer for Time Series Modeling: A Report on the ST-PT Framework29 Apr 2026
- 2025PruneGCRN: Minimizing and explaining spatio-temporal problems through node pruning12 Oct 2025
- 2025TGDT: A Temporal Graph-based Digital Twin for Urban Traffic Corridors25 Apr 2025
- 2024Multi-View Fusion Neural Network for Traffic Demand Prediction24 Dec 2024
- 2024Graph Structure Learning for Spatial-Temporal Imputation: Adapting to Node and Feature Scales24 Dec 2024
- 2024STDCformer: A Transformer-Based Model with a Spatial-Temporal Causal De-Confounding Strategy for Crowd Flow Prediction4 Dec 2024
- 2024Distribution-aware Online Continual Learning for Urban Spatio-Temporal Forecasting24 Nov 2024
- 2024Cross Space and Time: A Spatio-Temporal Unitized Model for Traffic Flow Forecasting14 Nov 2024
12 newest of 36 All 36 (JSON)