Revenue Optimization with Approximate Bid Predictions
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Abstract (arXiv)
In the context of advertising auctions, finding good reserve prices is a notoriously challenging learning problem. This is due to the heterogeneity of ad opportunity types and the non-convexity of the objective function. In this work, we show how to reduce reserve price optimization to the standard setting of prediction under squared loss, a well understood problem in the learning community. We further bound the gap between the expected bid and revenue in terms of the average loss of the predictor. This is the first result that formally relates the revenue gained to the quality of a standard machine learned model.
Key facts. Cited by 21 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 15 Jun 2017.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 7; 2022: 8; 2023: 1; 2024: 4; 2025: 0; 2026: 1.
21 papers.
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- 2026Learning-Augmented Algorithms: Guarantees, Construction Mechanisms, and System-Level Implications4 Sep 2026
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- 2022Customizing ML Predictions for Online Algorithms18 May 2022
- 2022Online Algorithms with Multiple Predictions8 May 2022
9 more
- 2022Convex Surrogate Loss Functions for Contextual Pricing with Transaction Data16 Feb 2022
- 2022Regulatory Instruments for Fair Personalized Pricing9 Feb 2022
- 2021Robustification of Online Graph Exploration Methods10 Dec 2021
- 2021Adversarial Deep Learning for Online Resource Allocation19 Nov 2021
- 2021Loss Functions for Discrete Contextual Pricing with Observational Data18 Nov 2021
- 2021Can Q-Learning be Improved with Advice?25 Oct 2021
- 2021Improved Bounds for Online Facility Location with Predictions17 Jul 2021
- 2021Sequential Ski Rental Problem13 Apr 2021
- 2021Double Coverage with Machine-Learned Advice2 Mar 2021
- 2024Improving Online Algorithms via ML Predictionscited by 65
- 2022Online Algorithms with Multiple Predictionscited by 22
- 2022Customizing ML Predictions for Online Algorithmscited by 21
- 2022Algorithms with Prediction Portfolioscited by 19
- 2021Can Q-Learning be Improved with Advice?cited by 13
- 2022A Regression Approach to Learning-Augmented Online Algorithmscited by 12
- 2021Double Coverage with Machine-Learned Advicecited by 10
- 2021Robustification of Online Graph Exploration Methodscited by 10
- 2021Adversarial Deep Learning for Online Resource Allocationcited by 7
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- 2021Loss Functions for Discrete Contextual Pricing with Observational Datacited by 6
12 most cited of 21 All 21 (JSON)
- 2026Learning-Augmented Algorithms: Guarantees, Construction Mechanisms, and System-Level Implications4 Sep 2026
- 2024Improving Online Algorithms via ML Predictions25 Jul 2024
- 2024Non-clairvoyant Scheduling with Partial Predictions2 May 2024
- 2024Best of Many in Both Worlds: Online Resource Allocation with Predictions under Unknown Arrival Model21 Feb 2024
- 2024Constrained Online Two-stage Stochastic Optimization: Algorithm with (and without) Predictions2 Jan 2024
- 2023Online Ad Allocation with Predictions3 Feb 2023
- 2022Algorithms with Prediction Portfolios22 Oct 2022
- 2022Online TSP with Predictions30 Jun 2022
- 2022Contextual Pandora's Box26 May 2022
- 2022A Regression Approach to Learning-Augmented Online Algorithms18 May 2022
- 2022Customizing ML Predictions for Online Algorithms18 May 2022
- 2022Online Algorithms with Multiple Predictions8 May 2022
12 newest of 21 All 21 (JSON)