World2TS: Real-World Event Context for Time-Series Forecasting
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Abstract (arXiv)
Time-series forecasting plays a vital role in a wide range of real-world applications. Recent approaches have achieved strong performance by modeling temporal correlations and cross-channel dependencies, yet most forecasting benchmarks still represent time series primarily as numerical histories. In practice, time series are observations of complex real-world processes, and their trajectories may reflect events, interventions, disruptions, and changes in measurement or reporting that cannot always be inferred from past values alone. A central barrier to studying context-aware forecasting is therefore the lack of large-scale datasets that align real-world events with the individual series they affect. We present World2TS, a scalable construction framework and large-scale dataset for time-series forecasting with real-world event context. We first develop world2ts-core, a reusable tool that combines agent-led semantic reasoning and Web search, command-line execution and validation, and human review within a feedback-driven discovery workflow. Given heterogeneous time series with semantic descriptions, the workflow discovers candidate events, consolidates retrieved evidence into verified events, and links them to relevant series under explicit temporal and semantic scopes. Using this framework, we construct world2ts-data, which contains 31 datasets across six domains, comprising 4,179 series, 97.1 million observations, 1,159 events, and 56,846 event-series links. We further conduct extensive data analyses and controlled comparative experiments to characterize the dataset and demonstrate the utility of the collected context for improving forecasting accuracy. World2TS provides a reusable data foundation for developing and evaluating context-aware forecasting models and agents. The project homepage is available at https://world2ts.github.io/.
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References · 24
- 2022A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformerscited by 2,039
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- 2024Chronos: Learning the Language of Time Seriescited by 759
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- 2021Monash Time Series Forecasting Archivecited by 267
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- 2024GIFT-Eval: A Benchmark For General Time Series Forecasting Model Evaluationcited by 212
- 2024Timer: Generative Pre-trained Transformers Are Large Time Series Modelscited by 208
12 more
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- 2024Context is Key: A Benchmark for Forecasting with Essential Textual Informationcited by 87
- 2024Time-MMD: Multi-Domain Multimodal Dataset for Time Series Analysiscited by 74
- 2021Neural basis expansion analysis with exogenous variables: Forecasting electricity prices with NBEATSxcited by 64
- 2023MASTER: Market-Guided Stock Transformer for Stock Price Forecastingcited by 32
- 2025TimePFN: Effective Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Synthetic Datacited by 29
- 2024ConvTimeNet: A Deep Hierarchical Fully Convolutional Model for Multivariate Time Series Analysiscited by 27
- 2025TimeSeriesScientist: A General-Purpose AI Agent for Time Series Analysiscited by 22
- 2026Rethinking Multimodal Time-Series Forecasting Evaluationcited by 7
- 2024DisenTS: Disentangled Channel Evolving Pattern Modeling for Multivariate Time Series Forecastingcited by 3
- 2026CastFSR: A Fast--Slow--Reflect Agentic Reasoning Framework for Context-Aware Time Series Forecastingcited by 1
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