mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

MORA: Modeling Observed Changes for Drift-Robust Time-Series Anomaly Detection

arXiv 2610.09473 ↗First posted 7 Oct 2026cs.LG cs.AIcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Time-series anomaly detection (TSAD) identifies deviations from patterns learned from historical data. In non-stationary settings, distribution drift and true anomalies can cause similar local changes, making it difficult to tell whether a deviation reflects abnormality or evolving context. Existing methods typically adapt to detected shifts or learn drift-insensitive representations, but do not resolve this ambiguity. We define this problem as temporal change disambiguation: determining whether a local deviation is explained by broader temporal evolution. We introduce MORA, a drift-robust TSAD framework that reconstructs the same local target from paired short- and long-term views. The reconstruction gap measures contextual support for a local deviation, and a data-dependent correction mechanism conservatively adjusts the primary local anomaly score. Context can only reduce the score when it improves reconstruction of the same target. MORA needs neither drift annotations nor online adaptation. Experiments on four TSAD benchmarks show strong robustness to non-stationarity while preserving sensitivity to genuine anomalies.

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References · 5

  1. 2016LSTM-based Encoder-Decoder for Multi-sensor Anomaly Detectioncited by 213
  2. 2020Exathlon: A Benchmark for Explainable Anomaly Detection over Time Seriescited by 56
  3. 2021Merlion: A Machine Learning Library for Time Seriescited by 25
  4. 2024European Space Agency Benchmark for Anomaly Detection in Satellite Telemetrycited by 12
  5. 2025Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detection by Capturing Coarse-Grained Intra- and Inter-Variate Dependenciescited by 8

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