mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Most-Recent Anchoring with Recurrent Ordering for Time Series Forecasting

arXiv 2610.03494 ↗First posted 2 Oct 2026cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Long-term forecasting models commonly process all patches in a look-back window using the same fixed stack. Older contextual patches and recent evidence therefore receive the same computational depth. Yet the information closest to the forecast and the more distant context do not contribute equally. Uniform processing leaves this distinction unexpressed in the architecture. We propose MARO, a Most-Recent Anchoring with Recurrent Ordering model that processes the look-back window from the most recent patch to the oldest. The most recent patch serves as the anchor. It initializes the latent state and conditions each subsequent step, so older patches are folded into a representation that remains centered on recent evidence. A single shared module is reused at every step, so extending the scan further into the past introduces no additional parameters. Intermediate states retained during the scan allow the forecast head to weigh short and long portions of the history separately. This expresses recency through the order of recurrent refinement. Extensive experiments across multiple real-world time series datasets show that MARO achieves state-of-the-art performance on both long-term and short-term forecasting tasks.Ablation studies examine the contribution of the main architectural components.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 21 of its 29 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 2 Oct 2026.

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21 of 29 references.

References · 21

  1. 2022Chain-of-Thought Prompting Elicits Reasoning in Large Language Modelscited by 12,459
  2. 2019Optuna: A Next-generation Hyperparameter Optimization Frameworkcited by 2,501
  3. 2020Informer: Beyond Efficient Transformer for Long Sequence Time-Series Forecastingcited by 2,169
  4. 2022A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformerscited by 2,039
  5. 2022Are Transformers Effective for Time Series Forecasting?cited by 1,424
  6. 2023iTransformer: Inverted Transformers Are Effective for Time Series Forecastingcited by 931
  7. 2024Training Large Language Models to Reason in a Continuous Latent Spacecited by 797
  8. 2025Scaling up Test-Time Compute with Latent Reasoning: A Recurrent Depth Approachcited by 415
  9. 2024TimeMixer: Decomposable Multiscale Mixing for Time Series Forecastingcited by 346
  10. 2021SCINet: Time Series Modeling and Forecasting with Sample Convolution and Interactioncited by 338
  11. 2023TSMixer: An All-MLP Architecture for Time Series Forecastingcited by 240
  12. 2023TSMixer: Lightweight MLP-Mixer Model for Multivariate Time Series Forecastingcited by 139
9 more
  1. 2024Is Mamba Effective for Time Series Forecasting?cited by 114
  2. 2024CycleNet: Enhancing Time Series Forecasting through Modeling Periodic Patternscited by 106
  3. 2025TimeFilter: Patch-Specific Spatial-Temporal Graph Filtration for Time Series Forecastingcited by 64
  4. 2025Enhancing Time Series Forecasting through Selective Representation Spaces: A Patch Perspectivecited by 39
  5. 2025TimeKAN: KAN-based Frequency Decomposition Learning Architecture for Long-term Time Series Forecastingcited by 30
  6. 2024WPMixer: Efficient Multi-Resolution Mixing for Long-Term Time Series Forecastingcited by 26
  7. 2025Amplifier: Bringing Attention to Neglected Low-Energy Components in Time Series Forecastingcited by 26
  8. 2024xLSTMTime : Long-term Time Series Forecasting With xLSTMcited by 14
  9. 2025Channel Dependence, Limited Lookback Windows, and the Simplicity of Datasets: How Biased is Time Series Forecasting?cited by 8

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