When Should LLMs Trust Their Own Revisions? A Risk-Aware Study of Intrinsic Self-Correction

Intrinsic self-correction asks a language model to revise its own answer without receiving new external evidence. A second pass can recover mistakes, but it can also overturn answers that were already correct. We study this trade-off across 29 open-weight LLMs on BoolQ, GSM8K, and Corr2Cause by tracking correctness transitions between initial and revised answers. Aggregate accuracy can conceal substantially different revision behavior: for example, Llama-3.1-8B improves by 25.5 percentage points on GSM8K, while refinement changes 19.1% of initially correct answers into wrong ones. A controlled BoolQ study further shows that refinement prompts shift the balance between recovery and harm. We then compare three runtime choices: keeping the initial answer, always accepting the revision, and selectively invoking revision using signals available after the initial response. The comparison identifies settings where learned gating is useful and others where a simpler unconditional policy performs better. These results suggest treating intrinsic self-correction as a revision policy rather than as a uniformly beneficial second pass, and evaluating it through both the corrections it recovers and the errors it introduces.