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Simulating Respondents, Not Single Questions: Coherent Survey Generation with Large Language Models

arXiv 2609.34828 ↗First posted 28 Sep 2026cs.AIcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Large language models are increasingly used to simulate response distributions in social surveys. Prior work has achieved accurate population-level simulation for individual questions. Real questionnaires, however, ask each respondent a sequence of related questions. A simulated respondent should show coherent preferences across the whole questionnaire, not merely accurate distributions for isolated items. Existing single-item methods cannot accurately reproduce how the same person answers a complete survey. We propose FullRespondent-LLM (FR-LLM), which fine-tunes two specialized LLMs: a marginal model for each item's response distribution and a respondent-level autoregressive model for dependencies across answers. Marginal-Constrained Joint Projection (MCJP) then projects the autoregressive joint distribution onto the set satisfying the item-level marginals learned by the first model. This yields complete questionnaires with realistic cross-item relationships while retaining strong item-level accuracy. On two real-world social survey datasets, FR-LLM more accurately reproduces multi-question response patterns, maintains competitive single-item accuracy, and generalizes better to unseen populations and questions. In a small commercial-survey dataset, we use simulated responses to make pricing and stocking decisions; FR-LLM achieves the highest realized profit.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 9 of its 19 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 28 Sep 2026.

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9 of 19 references.

References · 9

  1. 2022Out of One, Many: Using Language Models to Simulate Human Samplescited by 752
  2. 2025Language Model Fine-Tuning on Scaled Survey Data for Predicting Distributions of Public Opinionscited by 66
  3. 2025Specializing Large Language Models to Simulate Survey Response Distributions for Global Populationscited by 53
  4. 2025Valid Survey Simulations with Limited Human Data: The Roles of Prompting, Fine-Tuning, and Rectificationcited by 18
  5. 2025Survey Response Generation: Generating Closed-Ended Survey Responses In-Silico with Large Language Modelscited by 8
  6. 2026Plausible but Not Valid: A Psychometric Audit of LLMs as Synthetic Survey Respondentscited by 8
  7. 2025Large Language Models as Virtual Survey Respondents: Evaluating Sociodemographic Response Generationcited by 7
  8. 2025Distribution Shift Alignment Helps LLMs Simulate Survey Response Distributionscited by 5
  9. 2026Beyond Marginal Distributions: A Framework to Evaluate the Representativeness of Demographic-Aligned LLMscited by 4

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