Jailbreak Context Lingers: Divergent Safety Routing and Its Cross-Task Predictability in Tool Agents

As large language models increasingly operate as tool-using agents, post-jailbreak safety feedback is often assumed to serve as a reliable safeguard; however, how lingering jailbreak context shapes subsequent agent behavior remains largely unexplored. To systematically examine this dynamic, we introduce a paired continuation framework across 192 parent tasks spanning 42 domains, evaluating 12,148 analyzed continuation pairs (curated from a 12,288-pair initially design) across eight diverse agents. We find that identical safety feedback induces sharply model-dependent behavioral routing rather than uniform protection: redirecting unsafe trajectories toward legitimate completion (rescue), sustaining unauthorized execution (persistent unsafe), or triggering over-refusal on benign tasks (collateral loss). Through layer-wise activation patching, we discover a shared late-commit pattern where causal intervention effects surge sharply near the final layers (relative depths of 0.958--0.984) despite an over 30-fold variation in peak magnitude across architectures. Crucially, critical-layer representations correlate with macroscopic routing outcomes, and intervening at these layers causally alters concrete next-step tool actions. Building on this causal foundation, we test whether localized intervention-derived features can serve as predictive proxies for full-trajectory routing outcomes on unseen parent tasks under leave-one-parent-task-out evaluation, finding that they provide viable predictive signals in responsive agents with peak ROC AUCs reaching 0.675 for rescue, 0.777 for collateral loss, and 0.702 for persistent unsafe. These findings establish a mechanistic lens and a predictive baseline for anticipating the safety and utility trade-offs of post-jailbreak feedback in autonomous agents.