mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

BITS: Rethinking Fair and Comprehensive Evaluation for Irregular Time Series Forecasting

arXiv 2609.33303 ↗First posted 27 Sep 2026cs.LG cs.AIcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Despite recent progress in irregular time series forecasting, the field still lacks a unified benchmark for fair and comprehensive evaluation. Existing evaluations are often conducted on a limited set of datasets with inconsistent experimental protocols and predominantly error-based metrics, rendering it difficult to compare and assess methods fairly and comprehensively across diverse settings. To eliminate these limitations and accelerate progress, we propose BITS, a standardized, reproducible, and extensible benchmark for advancing research on irregular time series forecasting. BITS covers eleven datasets from nine domains with diverse irregularity characteristics, and it characterizes the datasets according to their missing rate, missing pattern complexity, sampling irregularity, and skewness. Further, it offers a unified pipeline for data preprocessing, model integration and evaluation, and reporting. It accommodates regular and irregular time series forecasting methods, including time series foundation models, under consistent settings, incorporating both error-based and non-error-based evaluation metrics. Findings include that method performance varies substantially across irregularity characteristics, with no single modeling strategy consistently dominating. We also find that using error-based or non-error-based metrics can yield different model rankings, highlighting the need for multi-dimensional evaluation. The code can be found at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/BITS-8F2E/.

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References · 31

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19 more
  1. 2019Set Functions for Time Seriescited by 138
  2. 2023Exploring Progress in Multivariate Time Series Forecasting: Comprehensive Benchmarking and Heterogeneity Analysiscited by 117
  3. 2024DUET: Dual Clustering Enhanced Multivariate Time Series Forecastingcited by 107
  4. 2021Modeling Irregular Time Series with Continuous Recurrent Unitscited by 103
  5. 2021Neural Flows: Efficient Alternative to Neural ODEscited by 101
  6. 2024TSFM-Bench: A Comprehensive and Unified Benchmark of Foundation Models for Time Series Forecastingcited by 58
  7. 2023Warpformer: A Multi-scale Modeling Approach for Irregular Clinical Time Seriescited by 55
  8. 2025Rethinking Irregular Time Series Forecasting: A Simple yet Effective Baselinecited by 55
  9. 2025Enhancing Time Series Forecasting through Selective Representation Spaces: A Patch Perspectivecited by 39
  10. 2025MIRA: Medical Time Series Foundation Model for Real-World Health Datacited by 22
  11. 2025Time-IMM: A Dataset and Benchmark for Irregular Multimodal Multivariate Time Seriescited by 19
  12. 2024Graph Neural Flows for Unveiling Systemic Interactions Among Irregularly Sampled Time Seriescited by 15
  13. 2025HyperIMTS: Hypergraph Neural Network for Irregular Multivariate Time Series Forecastingcited by 15
  14. 2024CESNET-TimeSeries24: Time Series Dataset for Network Traffic Anomaly Detection and Forecastingcited by 12
  15. 2026Bridging Time and Frequency: A Joint Modeling Framework for Irregular Multivariate Time Series Forecastingcited by 9
  16. 2025ASTGI: Adaptive Spatio-Temporal Graph Interactions for Irregular Multivariate Time Series Forecastingcited by 8
  17. 2025Revitalizing Canonical Pre-Alignment for Irregular Multivariate Time Series Forecastingcited by 6
  18. 2024Benchmarking with MIMIC-IV, an irregular, spare clinical time series datasetcited by 5
  19. 2026TiWeaver: Unified Temporal Dynamics Modeling via Contextual Patchingcited by 2

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