From Policy Documents to Structured Survey Responses: Evaluating Large Language Models for Policy Monitoring
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Abstract (arXiv)
Science, technology, and innovation policies are crucial for competitiveness, yet their diversity and scale make them difficult to map and monitor consistently. Existing approaches rely heavily on manual survey efforts, which are costly and challenging to scale across countries. Large language models (LLMs) enable new possibilities for extracting and structuring information from long and unstructured policy documents. This paper presents an application of LLMs as "AI respondents" for generating structured survey responses from policy texts. We develop a data extraction pipeline based on long-context in-context learning to map information from public web sources into predefined survey categories, including policy instruments, target groups, and thematic areas. The pipeline integrates a validation step using a secondary LLM to assess relevance and evidence, alongside comparisons with human-provided responses. Using a multi-country dataset, we evaluate the alignment between LLM-generated and human-generated outputs through overlap measures and cross-validation. Results show that LLMs achieve high agreement for structured indicators (84-95%), while differences remain in free-text fields, where models tend to provide more detailed procedural descriptions. These findings highlight the potential of hybrid human-AI workflows for policy monitoring, improving both efficiency and scalability while maintaining the need for human validation and contextual interpretation.
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