Recovering Lost Details: Multi-Scale Frequency Compensation for Long-Term Time Series Forecasting
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Abstract (arXiv)
Long-term time series forecasting has made significant progress by leveraging multi-scale information to capture hierarchical temporal patterns and model long-range dependencies. However, temporal downsampling in existing multi-scale methods inevitably smooths detailed temporal fluctuations, and this information loss is further aggravated by their emphasis on dominant trends across scales, resulting in insufficiently expressive representations. To address this, we propose a Multi-Scale Wavelet Mixing (MWMixer) model, which incorporates a Bidirectional Frequency-Bands Mixing strategy to recover lost temporal details across scales, enabling complementary cross-scale information interactions. Then, a Dynamic Scale-Adaptive Fusion module learns time-varying weights for each scale to fuse multi-scale forecasts into the final prediction, enhancing the flexibility of multi-scale aggregation. In addition, a cross-scale consistency loss aligns each coarse-scale prediction with the interval-averaged fine-scale outputs, while a multi-scale supervision loss enforces prediction accuracy at each scale, promoting consistent learning across scales. Extensive experiments on seven real-world datasets demonstrate that MWMixer achieves competitive performance in long-term forecasting.
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References · 13
- 2020Informer: Beyond Efficient Transformer for Long Sequence Time-Series Forecastingcited by 2,169
- 2022A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformerscited by 2,039
- 2021Autoformer: Decomposition Transformers with Auto-Correlation for Long-Term Series Forecastingcited by 1,676
- 2022FEDformer: Frequency Enhanced Decomposed Transformer for Long-term Series Forecastingcited by 1,210
- 2017DeepAR: Probabilistic Forecasting with Autoregressive Recurrent Networkscited by 1,013
- 2021SCINet: Time Series Modeling and Forecasting with Sample Convolution and Interactioncited by 338
- 2023Long-term Forecasting with TiDE: Time-series Dense Encodercited by 332
- 2023TSMixer: An All-MLP Architecture for Time Series Forecastingcited by 240
- 2023FITS: Modeling Time Series with 10k Parameterscited by 195
- 2023FourierGNN: Rethinking Multivariate Time Series Forecasting from a Pure Graph Perspectivecited by 127
- 2024SparseTSF: Modeling Long-term Time Series Forecasting with 1k Parameterscited by 107
- 2024DUET: Dual Clustering Enhanced Multivariate Time Series Forecastingcited by 107
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