Adaptive Rollout Truncation Based on Epistemic Uncertainty for Efficient Offline World Model Training
On the map: World models → Latent dynamics models and model-based RL also fits: Latent predictive world models
Abstract (arXiv)
Accurate neural world models are central to model-based robotics, where they enable robots to predict future states from previously observed trajectories. Multi-step autoregressive training improves long-horizon prediction, but fixed rollout horizons also increase computational cost and can amplify early training errors when the model is still inaccurate. Existing training schemes typically use the same rollout length throughout optimization, independent of the model's current predictive reliability. We propose an epistemic uncertainty-driven adaptive rollout strategy for offline world model training following an auto-curriculum training scheme. Instead of always unrolling to a fixed horizon, the model terminates autoregressive rollouts once epistemic uncertainty exceeds a threshold calibrated from a warm-up phase. We study two uncertainty estimators: a five-head ensemble with a shared recurrent backbone and Monte Carlo Dropout. A two-stage warm-up procedure stabilizes uncertainty estimates before we enable adaptive truncation. Experiments on ANYmal-D and ANT show that ensemble-based adaptive truncation matches or improves the prediction accuracy of fixed-horizon training and the RWM-U baseline while requiring substantially fewer cumulative rollout steps. Training a world model on ANYmal-D following the presented approach reaches comparable final performance with the baselines with roughly 72% less rollout computation. These results indicate that epistemic uncertainty is useful not only for downstream policy regularization, but also for making world model training itself more compute-efficient.
Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in Latent dynamics models and model-based RL, one of 11 directions in World models. Builds on 4 of its 5 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 18 Sep 2026.
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4 of 5 references.
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- 2025Uncertainty-Aware Robotic World Model Makes Offline Model-Based Reinforcement Learning Work on Real Robots23 Apr
- 2025Robotic World Model: A Neural Network Simulator for Robust Policy Optimization in Robotics17 Jan
- 2019When to Trust Your Model: Model-Based Policy Optimization19 Jun
Other references · 1
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- 2023Environment Transformer and Policy Optimization for Model-Based Offline Reinforcement Learning
- 2025Long-Horizon Model-Based Offline Reinforcement Learning Without Explicit Conservatism
- 2023Uncertainty-driven Trajectory Truncation for Data Augmentation in Offline Reinforcement Learning
- 2023Finetuning Offline World Models in the Real World
- 2026DriftWorld: Fast World Modeling through Drifting
- 2026Persistent Robot World Models: Stabilizing Multi-Step Rollouts via Reinforcement Learning
- 2026Biased Dreams: Limitations to Epistemic Uncertainty Quantification in Latent Dynamics Models
- 2021COMBO: Conservative Offline Model-Based Policy Optimization