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One Intervention per Component is Enough: Towards Identifiability in Linear Stochastic Dynamics from Steady State

arXiv 2609.19955 ↗First posted 17 Sep 2026cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

We study the problem of recovering the parameters of a multivariate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process from steady-state observational and interventional data. In many applications, such as large-scale gene perturbation experiments, only stationary "snapshot" measurements are available, making standard stochastic differential equation estimation methods that rely on time-series trajectories inapplicable. We first establish an identifiability result: one intervention per strongly connected component (SCC) of the drift graph suffices to recover all OU process parameters generically up to a global scaling factor. This holds provided that the SCC condensation graph is connected with a single root and certain spectral nondegeneracy assumptions hold. We propose a recursive learning algorithm that orders SCCs topologically and, for each component, isolates its marginal dynamics and solves a linear system derived from the steady-state moment equations, leveraging parameters recovered for upstream components. Building on this theoretical foundation, we propose a regularized least-squares estimator that jointly minimizes residuals of the steady-state mean and covariance equations across observational and interventional data. Experimental results validate our theoretical findings in recovering parameters of the underlying OU process.

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References · 8

  1. 2023Causal Discovery from Temporal Data: An Overview and New Perspectivescited by 43
  2. 2023A Survey on Causal Discovery Methods for I.I.D. and Time Series Datacited by 35
  3. 2024Stable Neural Stochastic Differential Equations in Analyzing Irregular Time Series Datacited by 35
  4. 2024PerturBench: Benchmarking Machine Learning Models for Cellular Perturbation Analysiscited by 35
  5. 2023NODAGS-Flow: Nonlinear Cyclic Causal Structure Learningcited by 20
  6. 2023Causal Modeling with Stationary Diffusionscited by 19
  7. 2024Dynamic Structural Causal Modelscited by 13
  8. 2024Identifiability Analysis of Linear ODE Systems with Hidden Confounderscited by 5

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