Newer Is Not Fairer: Gender Stereotyping in Text-to-Image AI Across Model Generations

Text-to-image generative models are widely used in professional and creative settings, yet how they represent gender across occupations -- and whether newer models are fairer -- remains poorly understood across multiple generations. We evaluate gender representation across 20 occupations, 5 prompt templates, and 4 Stable Diffusion model generations (SD 1.5, SD 2.1, SDXL, SD 3 Medium), generating 8,000 images with n = 100 per occupation-model cell (5 prompts x 20 images), and classifying all with DeepFace. Across the 8,000 open-source images, 76.4% show male subjects (95% CI [75.1%, 78.7%], p < 2.2 x 10^-16, Benjamini-Hochberg adjusted). More strikingly, 57.6% of images for historically female-coded occupations show male subjects (raw p = 3.43 x 10^-22, BH-adjusted p = 1.71 x 10^-21). All nine significant tests reported in this paper survive BH correction across 10 tests. When compared against U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics workforce data, models underrepresent women by 20-46pp on average, with particularly large deviations for near gender-balanced occupations: scientist (48% female in BLS, 82-99% male in model outputs) and cleaner (46% female in BLS, 80-92% male in outputs). Model generations do not improve steadily: bias worsens from SD 1.5 to SDXL before partially recovering in SD 3 Medium. A preliminary comparison with GPT-image-1 on five occupations suggests lower bias than open-source models, though the practical effect is small (Cramer's V = 0.080) and the comparison is exploratory. No model achieves gender parity.