Local Robustness Quantification for Naive Bayes Classifiers and Generative Forests: a General Approach

We provide methods for calculating the robustness of the predictions of two types of generative classifiers whose underlying distribution is a Probabilistic Graphical Model (PGM): naive Bayes classifiers and generative forests (a probabilistic extension of random forests). Following the paradigm of robustness quantification, we define the robustness of a prediction as the extent to which the distribution of the classifier can be perturbed without changing this prediction. We consider perturbations obtained by varying the local models of the PGMs within general neighborhoods and focus in particular on epsilon-contamination, total variation distance and chi-squared divergence balls. We test our methods on benchmark datasets, demonstrate that the robustness value of a prediction serves as an indicator for its trustworthiness and compare our approach with other such indicators.