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SolarBench: A global solar energy nowcasting benchmark

arXiv 2609.06187 ↗First posted 5 Sep 2026cs.CV cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

As the share of solar power grows, nowcasting weather-driven solar variability becomes critical for reliable energy system operation. State-of-the-art approaches increasingly apply deep learning to sky camera and geostationary satellite observations, but fragmented datasets and inconsistent evaluation make it difficult to determine whether reported improvements generalize across climates, cloud regimes, and photovoltaic (PV) systems. Here we introduce SolarBench, an open global benchmark for image-based solar nowcasting. SolarBench harmonizes more than six million sky and satellite images from 11 diverse sites spanning a decade, together with irradiance or PV output and auxiliary atmospheric data. An accompanying toolbox supports reproducible data access, processing, model development, and evaluation. Using SolarBench, we benchmark representative models and reveal a gap between average forecasting accuracy and the ability to capture rapid solar fluctuations. We further quantify predictability across cloud regimes and demonstrate data-efficient adaptation to new PV systems. SolarBench provides an extensible foundation for fair comparison and methodological innovation in solar nowcasting.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 4 of its 62 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 5 Sep 2026.

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References · 4

  1. 2021Is Space-Time Attention All You Need for Video Understanding?cited by 1,620
  2. 2021Benchmarking of Deep Learning Irradiance Forecasting Models from Sky Images -- an in-depth Analysiscited by 21
  3. 2021ECLIPSE : Envisioning CLoud Induced Perturbations in Solar Energycited by 14
  4. 2022SKIPP'D: a SKy Images and Photovoltaic Power Generation Dataset for Short-term Solar Forecastingcited by 11

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