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FMMO: Detecting the Divergence Between Local Attribution and Global Drift

arXiv 2609.06173 ↗First posted 5 Sep 2026cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Post-deployment drift poses a critical risk to algorithmic accountability, particularly when ground truth labels are delayed and performance degradation becomes a "silent failure". While Explainable AI (XAI) is often relied upon to audit these shifts, we demonstrate that popular local attribution methods (e.g., TreeSHAP) can exhibit misleading stability even as model reliability collapses. In this paper, we propose a Framework for Model Monitoring and Observability (FMMO) designed to expose the divergence between local explanation stability and global distribution shifts. Using benchmark, synthetic, and real-world datasets, we show that local XAI methods fail to flag drift-induced disparate impact, specifically where False Positive Rates spike for protected groups while feature attributions remain unchanged. By integrating global surrogate models with model utilization measurements, FMMO mitigates this fairness blind spot, ensuring that stakeholders can detect discriminatory deterioration that standard local XAI tools overlook.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 18 of its 60 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 5 Sep 2026.

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References · 18

  1. 2017A Unified Approach to Interpreting Model Predictionscited by 6,488
  2. 2016"Why Should I Trust You?": Explaining the Predictions of Any Classifiercited by 5,040
  3. 2019Fooling LIME and SHAP: Adversarial Attacks on Post hoc Explanation Methodscited by 440
  4. 2018Consistent Individualized Feature Attribution for Tree Ensemblescited by 279
  5. 2018Failing Loudly: An Empirical Study of Methods for Detecting Dataset Shiftcited by 240
  6. 2015A Random Forest Guided Tourcited by 168
  7. 2021Online Adaptation to Label Distribution Shiftcited by 44
  8. 2021Amazon SageMaker Model Monitor: A System for Real-Time Insights into Deployed Machine Learning Modelscited by 16
  9. 2020ConceptExplorer: Visual Analysis of Concept Driftsin Multi-source Time-series Datacited by 12
  10. 2021Tackling Virtual and Real Concept Drifts: An Adaptive Gaussian Mixture Modelcited by 9
  11. 2024Confidence-based Estimators for Predictive Performance in Model Monitoringcited by 8
  12. 2025Evaluating Model Explanations without Ground Truthcited by 6
6 more
  1. 2023Explanation Shift: How Did the Distribution Shift Impact the Model?cited by 5
  2. 2021Unified Shapley Framework to Explain Prediction Driftcited by 4
  3. 2022Autoregressive based Drift Detection Methodcited by 4
  4. 2024How to Sustainably Monitor ML-Enabled Systems? Accuracy and Energy Efficiency Tradeoffs in Concept Drift Detectioncited by 3
  5. 2015Temporal Matrix Factorization for Tracking Concept Drift in Individual User Preferencescited by 2
  6. 2024A Scalable Approach to Covariate and Concept Drift Management via Adaptive Data Segmentationcited by 2

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