LLM-Assisted Behavioural and Scenario Augmentation for Agent-Based Energy Adoption Models
On the map: LLM agents and tool use → Financial trading and forecasting agents
Abstract (arXiv)
Recent advances in large language models (LLMs) create opportunities to enrich simulation-based energy policy analysis, particularly by supporting structured behavioural assumptions and exploratory techno-economic scenarios. However, directly replacing adoption models with LLM reasoning raises concerns regarding interpretability, reproducibility, and behavioural validity. This paper proposes a hybrid framework for LLM-assisted specification design, integrating bounded behavioural rubrics and structured scenario specifications into a calibrated agent-based model (ABM) of solar photovoltaic (PV) adoption by Irish dairy farms. The proposed approach preserves the original techno-economic adoption mechanism while augmenting it with bounded behavioural modulation and scenario-driven uncertainty analysis. Behavioural effects are represented through interpretable conservative, balanced, and optimistic rubrics, while future policy and market conditions are explored through fixed, rule-validated scenario specifications. Experimental results across multiple policy settings, Monte Carlo worlds, and random seeds demonstrate stable and economically plausible behaviour, with adoption outcomes remaining bounded and monotonic across behavioural regimes. The framework achieves up to approximately 13% behavioural adoption increase relative to the corresponding logistic case without producing unstable or unrealistic saturation dynamics. The results demonstrate that LLM-assisted specifications can be integrated into calibrated energy ABMs in a controlled, reproducible, and policy-relevant manner.
Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in Financial trading and forecasting agents, one of 16 directions in LLM agents and tool use. Builds on 9 of its 25 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 4 Sep 2026.
Builds on
9 of 25 references.
References · 9
- 2023Generative Agents: Interactive Simulacra of Human Behaviorcited by 3,500
- 2022Survey of Hallucination in Natural Language Generationcited by 2,056
- 2022Out of One, Many: Using Language Models to Simulate Human Samplescited by 737
- 2022Using Large Language Models to Simulate Multiple Humans and Replicate Human Subject Studiescited by 506
- 2023Large Language Models Empowered Agent-based Modeling and Simulation: A Survey and Perspectivescited by 253
- 2024Large language models that replace human participants can harmfully misportray and flatten identity groupscited by 137
- 2024LLM-Augmented Agent-Based Modelling for Social Simulations: Challenges and Opportunitiescited by 27
- 2016Empirically Grounded Agent-Based Models of Innovation Diffusion: A Critical Reviewcited by 4
- 2024Modelling Solar PV Adoption in Irish Dairy Farms using Agent-Based Modellingcited by 1
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- 2024Using LLMs to Model the Beliefs and Preferences of Targeted Populations