GenONet: A Generative operator Network for High-Resolution Precipitation Nowcasting
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Abstract (arXiv)
High-resolution precipitation nowcasting is critical for reducing the impacts of severe weather but remains difficult because of rapid storm evolution. Deep learning models have shown great promise for this task, but their predictive skill often deteriorates over longer forecast horizons. This leads to increasingly blurry forecasts that fail to capture the complex, non-linear evolution of storm systems. In order to address these limitations, we introduce Spatio-Temporal U-DeepONet (GenONet), a novel architecture for long-range precipitation forecasting up to 3 hours, specifically designed to produce sharp and physically consistent results. GenONet's architecture pioneers the use of a Deep Operator Network (DeepONet) as a generator within a Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) framework for this task. The DeepONet learns the continuous-time dynamics of precipitation, ensuring stability over long forecast horizons. Adversial training against a spatio-temporal discriminator compels the model to produce sharp, coherent forecasts, while a physics-informed loss regularizer, derived from the Moisture Conservation Equation, improves physical plausibility in our ablation setting. Quantitative evaluations show that our model achieves consistently higher scores on most of the metrics, especially for highintensity events and at longer lead times. Qualitatively, GenONet produces structurally coherent forecasts that maintain their integrity, whereas baseline models degrade into indistinct patterns. Finally, an ablation study confirms the benefit of this physics-informed loss, highlighting the strength of combining operator learning with adversarial training.
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References · 16
- 2015U-Net: Convolutional Networks for Biomedical Image Segmentationcited by 19,604
- 2022Generative Adversarial Networkscited by 5,603
- 2020Fourier Neural Operator for Parametric Partial Differential Equationscited by 2,806
- 2019DeepONet: Learning nonlinear operators for identifying differential equations based on the universal approximation theorem of operatorscited by 1,965
- 2018UNet++: A Nested U-Net Architecture for Medical Image Segmentationcited by 1,518
- 2015Convolutional LSTM Network: A Machine Learning Approach for Precipitation Nowcastingcited by 1,428
- 2022FourCastNet: A Global Data-driven High-resolution Weather Model using Adaptive Fourier Neural Operatorscited by 748
- 2021Skillful Precipitation Nowcasting using Deep Generative Models of Radarcited by 308
- 2017Deep Learning for Precipitation Nowcasting: A Benchmark and A New Modelcited by 180
- 2015Delving Deeper into Convolutional Networks for Learning Video Representationscited by 146
- 2018PredRNN++: Towards A Resolution of the Deep-in-Time Dilemma in Spatiotemporal Predictive Learningcited by 122
- 2020SmaAt-UNet: Precipitation Nowcasting using a Small Attention-UNet Architecturecited by 71
4 more
- 2023Sequential Deep Operator Networks (S-DeepONet) for Predicting Full-field Solutions Under Time-dependent Loadscited by 47
- 2021A review of Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) and its applications in a wide variety of disciplines -- From Medical to Remote Sensingcited by 13
- 2024GA-SmaAt-GNet: Generative Adversarial Small Attention GNet for Extreme Precipitation Nowcastingcited by 9
- 2024Precipitation Nowcasting Using Physics Informed Discriminator Generative Modelscited by 7
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