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Predicting the Unpredictable: LLM-powered Long-term Chaotic Time Series Forecasting under Short-term Observations

arXiv 2608.29579 ↗First posted 30 Aug 2026cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Chaotic time series forecasting is a challenging task due to its sensitivity to initial conditions and long-term unpredictability. Traditional methods typically rely on sufficient temporal trajectories to learn long-term dynamics, which limits their applicability when only short-term observations are available. While recent Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown great potential for time series forecasting, their temporal representations are not explicitly tailored to the phase-space structure and nonlinear evolution of chaotic systems. To address these issues, we propose PAC-LLM, a phase-space-aware adaptive fusion framework for long-term chaotic time series forecasting powered by LLMs. PAC-LLM leverages learned phase-space features and textual information to fully enable LLM's time series forecasting capacity. In particular, we design an auxiliary feature module and a gated weighting mechanism for multivariate coupling information fusion and selection. Extensive experiments on representative chaotic systems demonstrate that our method outperforms existing fine-tuned and zero-shot baselines in both short-term and long-term predictions. Our ablation study further confirms the effectiveness of each key component in PAC-LLM.

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References · 17

  1. 2017FiLM: Visual Reasoning with a General Conditioning Layercited by 2,333
  2. 2024Qwen2.5-Coder Technical Reportcited by 1,203
  3. 2017Modeling Long- and Short-Term Temporal Patterns with Deep Neural Networkscited by 879
  4. 2019N-BEATS: Neural basis expansion analysis for interpretable time series forecastingcited by 753
  5. 2021Next Generation Reservoir Computingcited by 160
  6. 2018Data-Driven Forecasting of High-Dimensional Chaotic Systems with Long Short-Term Memory Networkscited by 155
  7. 2024TimeCMA: Towards LLM-Empowered Multivariate Time Series Forecasting via Cross-Modality Alignmentcited by 103
  8. 2021Chaos as an interpretable benchmark for forecasting and data-driven modellingcited by 88
  9. 2021Domain Adaptation for Time Series Forecasting via Attention Sharingcited by 68
  10. 2024LSTPrompt: Large Language Models as Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasters by Long-Short-Term Promptingcited by 59
  11. 2024LLMs learn governing principles of dynamical systems, revealing an in-context neural scaling lawcited by 32
  12. 2024Zero-shot forecasting of chaotic systemscited by 28
5 more
  1. 2025True Zero-Shot Inference of Dynamical Systems Preserving Long-Term Statisticscited by 20
  2. 2024Cross-Domain Pre-training with Language Models for Transferable Time Series Representationscited by 12
  3. 2024LLM-Mixer: Multiscale Mixing in LLMs for Time Series Forecastingcited by 8
  4. 2025LLM-PS: Empowering Large Language Models for Time Series Forecasting with Temporal Patterns and Semanticscited by 3
  5. 2024Learning Global and Local Features of Power Load Series Through Transformer and 2D-CNN: An Image-based Multi-step Forecasting Approach Incorporating Phase Space Reconstructioncited by 1

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