mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Humans Are More Diverse: Frontier LLMs Show Extreme Policies in Idealised AI Development Races

arXiv 2608.01193 ↗First posted 2 Aug 2026cs.AI cs.CY cs.GTcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

An AI development race creates a multi-agent safety dilemma. Each company can develop slowly and safely, or move faster while taking a risk that may remove its final reward. We use this repeated game to study strategic safety behaviour among large language model (LLM) agents in races with two to five players. However, a valid action does not show that an agent understands the game. We therefore place an audit gate before behavioural interpretation. We first verify the game engine, then test rule recall, state tracking, payoff calculation, and stability under different but equivalent task descriptions. We then compare LLM action sequences with an evolutionary game-theory benchmark and published human data, and explore differences across models, risk conditions, personas, and two- to five-player races. The audit shows that strong rule recall can coexist with weak state tracking and expected-payoff calculation. Providing verified arithmetic and changing the response representation can also change later actions, even when the game rules stay fixed. Across seven tested model endpoints, aggregate rates hide large differences in action sequences, responses to opponents, and responses to race position. Patterns across the tested three- to five-player races are also model-specific rather than a single effect of adding competitors. These results show why multi-agent AI-race simulations need validity checks and trajectory-level analysis before their outputs are described as strategic, human-like, or safety-aware. Our findings are exploratory and apply only to the tested models, prompts, and decoding settings.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 13 of its 34 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 2 Aug 2026.

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13 of 34 references.

References · 13

  1. 2023Quantifying Language Models' Sensitivity to Spurious Features in Prompt Design or: How I learned to start worrying about prompt formattingcited by 817
  2. 2022Out of One, Many: Using Language Models to Simulate Human Samplescited by 752
  3. 2024The Butterfly Effect of Altering Prompts: How Small Changes and Jailbreaks Affect Large Language Model Performancecited by 100
  4. 2024CogBench: a large language model walks into a psychology labcited by 63
  5. 2025Specializing Large Language Models to Simulate Survey Response Distributions for Global Populationscited by 53
  6. 2025Can LLM Agents Simulate Multi-Turn Human Behavior? Evidence from Real Online Customer Behavior Datacited by 28
  7. 2024Modeling Human Subjectivity in LLMs Using Explicit and Implicit Human Factors in Personascited by 23
  8. 2019The Role of Cooperation in Responsible AI Developmentcited by 21
  9. 2025FAIRGAME: a Framework for AI Agents Bias Recognition using Game Theorycited by 14
  10. 2025Can Generative AI agents behave like humans? Evidence from laboratory market experimentscited by 10
  11. 2020Artificial Intelligence Development Races in Heterogeneous Settingscited by 9
  12. 2025Beyond Nash Equilibrium: Bounded Rationality of LLMs and humans in Strategic Decision-makingcited by 9
1 more
  1. 2026Competition and Cooperation of LLM Agents in Gamescited by 3

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