Attention-based Experience Replay Framework for Continual Learning of Agnostic Time Series Forecasting Models
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Abstract (arXiv)
Deep learning has led to remarkable progress in artificial intelligence, particularly in robotics, imaging and sound processing. However, a major limitation of neural networks remains their strong dependence on large and stationary datasets. In many real-world applications, these conditions are rarely met due to evolving and dynamic environments where data distributions change over time. Continual learning aims to address this challenge by developing models capable of adapting incrementally while maintaining a balance between stability and plasticity under computational constraints. In this work, we introduce a novel framework for continual time series forecasting, designed to extend existing static forecasting models commonly used in the literature by incorporating an Experience Replay strategy guided by Attention mechanisms. This approach allows the model to adapt dynamically to new contexts while preserving prior knowledge, effectively mitigating catastrophic forgetting. The framework is evaluated on standard forecasting benchmarks as well as on a piezometric dataset exhibiting diverse temporal behaviors. Results show that our approach effectively increases or maintains predictive performance over time while reducing retraining costs and data requirements, thus facilitating the deployment of forecasting models in dynamic and real-world settings.
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References · 17
- 2016Overcoming catastrophic forgetting in neural networkscited by 4,787
- 2020Informer: Beyond Efficient Transformer for Long Sequence Time-Series Forecastingcited by 2,169
- 2022A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformerscited by 2,039
- 2021Autoformer: Decomposition Transformers with Auto-Correlation for Long-Term Series Forecastingcited by 1,676
- 2022Are Transformers Effective for Time Series Forecasting?cited by 1,424
- 2022FEDformer: Frequency Enhanced Decomposed Transformer for Long-term Series Forecastingcited by 1,210
- 2020Dark Experience for General Continual Learning: a Strong, Simple Baselinecited by 911
- 2019Recurrent Neural Networks for Time Series Forecasting: Current Status and Future Directionscited by 172
- 2021Recent Advances of Continual Learning in Computer Vision: An Overviewcited by 55
- 2021An Investigation of Replay-based Approaches for Continual Learningcited by 26
- 2021Elastic Weight Consolidation (EWC): Nuts and Boltscited by 23
- 2021CLeaR: An Adaptive Continual Learning Framework for Regression Taskscited by 22
5 more
- 2023PatchMixer: A Patch-Mixing Architecture for Long-Term Time Series Forecastingcited by 20
- 2022Continual Learning for Multivariate Time Series Tasks with Variable Input Dimensionscited by 14
- 2021Self-Attention Meta-Learner for Continual Learningcited by 8
- 2020Prediction error-driven memory consolidation for continual learning. On the case of adaptive greenhouse modelscited by 5
- 2022Selecting Related Knowledge via Efficient Channel Attention for Online Continual Learningcited by 2
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