Stop Guessing When to Stop Testing: Efficient Model Evaluation with Just Enough Data
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Abstract (arXiv)
The inherent rigidity of fixed-size benchmarks makes them an inefficient tool for model evaluation. Diverse evaluation objectives, including model ranking, model selection and testing throughout development, demand varying levels of statistical power. The mismatch between fixed sample sizes and these diverse needs results in either excessive computational cost or compromised reliability - a critical concern for model evaluation. To overcome these limitations, we call for adoption of sequential testing in our field. We provide an adaptive evaluation framework, that provides a principled way to navigate the trade-off between efficiency and reliability in model evaluation. Our framework combines the established statistical paradigm of sequential testing with stopping criteria tailored to common evaluation needs such as diminishing returns detection, and minimum detectable effect size. We demonstrate its ability to adaptively manage the efficiency-reliability trade-off on the Open VLM Leaderboard, including, for example, a 80% reduction in computational cost compared to fixed-size evaluation (with a 2.5-point CI width allowance) while maintaining statistical significance.
Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 14 of its 32 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 9 Jul 2026.
Builds on
14 of 32 references.
References · 14
- 2016A Diagram Is Worth A Dozen Imagescited by 793
- 2024From Crowdsourced Data to High-Quality Benchmarks: Arena-Hard and BenchBuilder Pipelinecited by 484
- 2024VLMEvalKit: An Open-Source Toolkit for Evaluating Large Multi-Modality Modelscited by 443
- 2024tinyBenchmarks: evaluating LLMs with fewer examplescited by 295
- 2023Anchor Points: Benchmarking Models with Much Fewer Examplescited by 84
- 2021Active Testing: Sample-Efficient Model Evaluationcited by 82
- 2024Efficient multi-prompt evaluation of LLMscited by 72
- 2024Efficient Prompt Optimization Through the Lens of Best Arm Identificationcited by 35
- 2023Benchmarking Large Language Model Capabilities for Conditional Generationcited by 29
- 2024Label-Efficient Model Selection for Text Generationcited by 17
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- 2022Near-Optimal Non-Parametric Sequential Tests and Confidence Sequences with Possibly Dependent Observationscited by 8
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Citing papers per year: 2026: 1.
1 paper.
- 2026Rank Confidence Sequences:Anytime-valid Leaderboardscited by 0
- 2026Rank Confidence Sequences:Anytime-valid Leaderboards26 Sep 2026