mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Validating LLMs in social science: Epistemic threats and emerging norms

arXiv 2607.07915 ↗First posted 8 Jul 2026cs.CY cs.CLcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Large language models (LLMs) are reshaping social science methodology. Researchers increasingly prompt language models to generate quantitative measurements of social concepts, for example labeling data or simulating survey responses. Yet LLMs pose methodological challenges including bias, hallucination, and brittleness across contexts, with unclear threats to validity. Standard practices and norms for addressing these challenges are still emerging. We collect and systematically analyze validation practices in a comprehensive corpus of papers from eight flagship social science journals that use LLMs as measurement instruments. We find that LLM-generated measurements frequently play a central role in empirical analyses, yet validation practices are inconsistent and limited. We outline complementary strategies for more robust validation, pointing toward better norms and standards around the use of LLMs in social science.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 33 of its 81 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 8 Jul 2026.

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References · 33

  1. 2021Calibrate Before Use: Improving Few-Shot Performance of Language Modelscited by 1,392
  2. 2021Fantastically Ordered Prompts and Where to Find Them: Overcoming Few-Shot Prompt Order Sensitivitycited by 1,135
  3. 2023ChatGPT Outperforms Crowd-Workers for Text-Annotation Taskscited by 870
  4. 2023Quantifying Language Models' Sensitivity to Spurious Features in Prompt Design or: How I learned to start worrying about prompt formattingcited by 817
  5. 2023Whose Opinions Do Language Models Reflect?cited by 773
  6. 2022Out of One, Many: Using Language Models to Simulate Human Samplescited by 752
  7. 2020How Can We Know When Language Models Know? On the Calibration of Language Models for Question Answeringcited by 445
  8. 2019Measurement and Fairnesscited by 308
  9. 2023From Pretraining Data to Language Models to Downstream Tasks: Tracking the Trails of Political Biases Leading to Unfair NLP Modelscited by 260
  10. 2023Prediction-Powered Inferencecited by 220
  11. 2022The 'Problem' of Human Label Variation: On Ground Truth in Data, Modeling and Evaluationcited by 139
  12. 2025Position: Evaluating Generative AI Systems Is a Social Science Measurement Challengecited by 63
21 more
  1. 2022Can Large Language Models Truly Understand Prompts? A Case Study with Negated Promptscited by 59
  2. 2023You don't need a personality test to know these models are unreliable: Assessing the Reliability of Large Language Models on Psychometric Instrumentscited by 48
  3. 2024LLMs as Research Tools: A Large Scale Survey of Researchers' Usage and Perceptionscited by 47
  4. 2023Using Imperfect Surrogates for Downstream Inference: Design-based Supervised Learning for Social Science Applications of Large Language Modelscited by 39
  5. 2023Large Language Models Can Be Used to Estimate the Latent Positions of Politicianscited by 33
  6. 2023Are Large Language Models Really Robust to Word-Level Perturbations?cited by 32
  7. 2024Large Language Models: An Applied Econometric Frameworkcited by 32
  8. 2024Codebook LLMs: Evaluating LLMs as Measurement Tools for Political Science Conceptscited by 30
  9. 2026This human study did not involve human subjects: Validating LLM simulations as behavioral evidencecited by 29
  10. 2024Large Language Models in Qualitative Research: Uses, Tensions, and Intentionscited by 21
  11. 2023This is not a Dataset: A Large Negation Benchmark to Challenge Large Language Modelscited by 18
  12. 2025The threat of analytic flexibility in using large language models to simulate human datacited by 15
  13. 2025How Deep Is Representational Bias in LLMs? The Cases of Caste and Religioncited by 14
  14. 2023Positioning Political Texts with Large Language Models by Asking and Averagingcited by 13
  15. 2023Measurement in the Age of LLMs: An Application to Ideological Scalingcited by 11
  16. 2023Synthetically generated text for supervised text analysiscited by 10
  17. 2026Hidden Measurement Error in LLM Pipelines Distorts Annotation, Evaluation, and Benchmarkingcited by 10
  18. 2024A semantic embedding space based on large language models for modelling human beliefscited by 9
  19. 2026Bias Beyond Borders: Political Ideology Evaluation and Steering in Multilingual LLMscited by 4
  20. 2025What is a protest anyway? Codebook conceptualization is still a first-order concern in LLM-era classificationcited by 2
  21. 2025Generative AI in Sociological Research: State of the Disciplinecited by 2

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