mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Interpretable Uncertainty for Adaptive Retrieval and Reasoning in Question Answering

arXiv 2607.07380 ↗First posted 8 Jul 2026cs.IRcited by 2

On the map: LLM reasoning → Knowledge- and tool-augmented reasoning

Abstract (arXiv)

Large language models (LLMs) achieve a strong performance in question answering (QA), but remain prone to hallucinations and suffer from limited transparency. Retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) can improve factuality, yet decisions about when and how to retrieve from external resources are typically based on opaque policies or computationally inefficient multi-step prompting procedures. We propose an uncertainty-aware framework for adaptive QA based on explicit signals derived from LLM internal representations. We distinguish between knowledge insufficiency and knowledge ambiguity or conflict, and efficiently estimate these from hidden states in a single forward pass. These signals guide system behaviour: RAG is triggered when knowledge is insufficient, while additional reasoning is applied when ambiguity or conflict is high. By grounding adaptive decisions in decomposed and efficiently estimable uncertainty signals, this approach provides a transparent and practical alternative to existing retrieval and reasoning strategies supporting the design of interpretable user-facing tools.

Key facts. Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Placed in Knowledge- and tool-augmented reasoning, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning. Builds on 3 of its 25 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 8 Jul 2026.

Builds on

3 of 25 references.

References · 3

  1. 2023Llama 2: Open Foundation and Fine-Tuned Chat Modelscited by 13,028
  2. 2024Scaling LLM Test-Time Compute Optimally can be More Effective than Scaling Model Parameterscited by 1,986
  3. 2025The Illusion of Certainty: Uncertainty Quantification for LLMs Fails under Ambiguitycited by 17

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Cited by year (2026 to 14 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2026: 2.

2 papers.

Similar, not cited

Close in wording, no citation either way

  1. 2025Adaptive Retrieval Without Self-Knowledge? Bringing Uncertainty Back Home
  2. 2026URAG: A Benchmark for Uncertainty Quantification in Retrieval-Augmented Large Language Models
  3. 2025SUGAR: Leveraging Contextual Confidence for Smarter Retrieval
  4. 2026AB-RAG: Adaptive Budgeted Retrieval-Augmented Generation for Reliable Question Answering
  5. 2024Adaptive-RAG: Learning to Adapt Retrieval-Augmented Large Language Models through Question Complexity
  6. 2025To Retrieve or Not to Retrieve? Uncertainty Detection for Dynamic Retrieval Augmented Generation
  7. 2026Beyond Self-Knowledge: Propagating Uncertainty Across Reasoning and Retrieval in LLMs
  8. 2026Decide Then Retrieve: A Training-Free Framework with Uncertainty-Guided Triggering and Dual-Path Retrieval