A Diagnostic Framework and Multi-Evaluator Audit of Evaluator-Driven Preference Dynamics in Self-Adapting LLM Agents
On the map: LLM agents and tool use → General LLM agent frameworks and benchmarks
Abstract (arXiv)
Measurements of proprietary LLM evaluators can become invalid within weeks -- we document one case and provide the diagnostic framework to detect it. We introduce EPC -- comprising the Multimodal Preference Collapse Index (MPCI), evaluator-indexed coupling matrix, and Jensen-Shannon divergence (JSD) -- and apply it across eight experimental conditions (N=112 main + N=10 ablation = 122 unique repetitions, all reported). Coupling coefficients range from 0.00 to 1.18 across per-condition means (CV approx 0.9, n=8 conditions). Four conditions show strong coupling (N=36; GPT-4o May, GPT-4o-mini, Qwen3.7-plus, DashScope 30r); four collapse to near-zero (N=76; GPT-4o June, qwen-plus N=30, symmetric LR, DeepSeek self-eval). The May-to-June GPT-4o drift -- an N=8 re-replication inverting the study's conclusion -- is the most informative measurement: a diagnostic instrument detecting its own instability demonstrates the fragility it was designed to measure. Self-evaluation (97% zero, JSD=0.003) consistently collapses, though floor effects are possible. Output-format confound analysis finds per-strategy aggregate rho=0.89 but per-instance rho=0.219 (p=0.093); PCI reported as preference-convergence metric. We release EPC with all data. The finding is not any single coupling magnitude but the pattern of version-conditional instability that makes single-snapshot evaluator studies unreliable.
Key facts. Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Placed in General LLM agent frameworks and benchmarks, one of 16 directions in LLM agents and tool use. Builds on 4 of its 24 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 29 Jun 2026.
Builds on
4 of 24 references.
References · 4
- 2023Judging LLM-as-a-Judge with MT-Bench and Chatbot Arenacited by 8,626
- 2022Scaling Laws for Reward Model Overoptimizationcited by 1,095
- 2024Self-Rewarding Language Modelscited by 681
- 2026Who Drifted: the System or the Judge? Anytime-Valid Attribution in LLM Evaluation Pipelinescited by 8
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2026: 3.
3 papers.
- 2026Calibrating the Evaluator: Does Probability Calibration Mitigate Preference Coupling in LLM Agent Feedback Loops?cited by 1
- 2026EPC: A Standardized Protocol for Measuring Evaluator Preference Dynamics in LLM Agent Systemscited by 0
- 2026Mapping the Evaluation Frontier: An Empirical Survey of the Bias-Reliability Tradeoff Across Eleven Evaluator-Agent Conditionscited by 0
- 2026Mapping the Evaluation Frontier: An Empirical Survey of the Bias-Reliability Tradeoff Across Eleven Evaluator-Agent Conditions1 Jul 2026
- 2026EPC: A Standardized Protocol for Measuring Evaluator Preference Dynamics in LLM Agent Systems1 Jul 2026
- 2026Calibrating the Evaluator: Does Probability Calibration Mitigate Preference Coupling in LLM Agent Feedback Loops?30 Jun 2026
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