Machine Learning and Deep Learning for Exoplanet Detection and Atmospheric Characterization with JWST and the Upcoming Ariel Mission
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Abstract (arXiv)
The detection and atmospheric characterization of exoplanets have entered a new data-intensive era driven by the James Webb Space Telescope and the upcoming Ariel mission. Modern surveys produce millions of light curves and high-resolution spectra that overwhelm traditional pipelines, motivating the rapid integration of Machine Learning and Deep Learning methods into the exoplanet workflow. This review synthesizes the latest progress in applying ML/DL techniques to exoplanet detection (transit identification, candidate vetting, false-positive rejection) and atmospheric characterization (retrieval, detrending, cross-correlation, surrogate modelling) in the context of JWST and Ariel. We start with classical algorithms such as Random Forests and Convolutional Neural Networks, move through Transformers and Recurrent architectures, then survey modern simulation-based inference using Neural Posterior Estimation and Flow Matching Posterior Estimation with normalizing or continuous normalizing flows. We discuss benchmark efforts, including the Ariel Machine Learning Data Challenges (2019 to 2025) hosted with NeurIPS, and key JWST case studies such as the WASP-39b Early Release Science programme. Results indicate that DL approaches consistently match or exceed traditional pipelines in both speed and accuracy, while ML-driven retrievals reduce inference time from CPU-hours to seconds and can accelerate nested-sampling retrievals by factors of 3-8 without compromising Bayesian evidence. We identify outstanding challenges interpretability, calibration of uncertainties under noisy data, hybrid modelling, and the generalization of models across instruments and planet populations and outline a research roadmap spanning the JWST era and beyond into Ariel's launch in 2029.
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References · 8
- 2019An Ensemble of Bayesian Neural Networks for Exoplanetary Atmospheric Retrievalcited by 16
- 2020Exoplanet Validation with Machine Learning: 50 new validated Kepler planetscited by 13
- 2021Identifying Planetary Transit Candidates in TESS Full-Frame Image Light Curves via Convolutional Neural Networkscited by 5
- 2023Distinguishing a planetary transit from false positives: a Transformer-based classification for planetary transit signalscited by 5
- 2023Inferring Atmospheric Properties of Exoplanets with Flow Matching and Neural Importance Samplingcited by 4
- 2023Reproducing Bayesian Posterior Distributions for Exoplanet Atmospheric Parameter Retrievals with a Machine Learning Surrogate Modelcited by 3
- 2024Short-Period Variables in TESS Full-Frame Image Light Curves Identified via Convolutional Neural Networkscited by 1
- 2024Machine Learning for Exoplanet Detection in High-Contrast Spectroscopy: Revealing Exoplanets by Leveraging Hidden Molecular Signatures in Cross-Correlated Spectra with Convolutional Neural Networkscited by 1
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- 2024Flow Matching for Atmospheric Retrieval of Exoplanets: Where Reliability meets Adaptive Noise Levels
- 2026A Missing Latent, Not a Missing Simulator: Radius-Augmented Inference for Real JWST Retrieval
- 2026One Transit Is All You Need: Detecting Exoplanets Through Learned Stellar Behaviour with EXOVEIL
- 2025POLARIS: A High-contrast Polarimetric Imaging Benchmark Dataset for Exoplanetary Disk Representation Learning
- 2025Estimating Orbital Parameters of Direct Imaging Exoplanet Using Neural Network
- 2024Deep Learning and LLM-based Methods Applied to Stellar Lightcurve Classification
- 2026ASTER -- Agentic Science Toolkit for Exoplanet Research
- 2026Opportunities in AI/ML for the Rubin LSST Dark Energy Science Collaboration