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Treatment Response Optimized Clinical Decision Support AI System via Digital Twin Simulation

arXiv 2606.17405 ↗First posted 16 Jun 2026cs.AIcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Clinical decision support AI systems (CDSASs) must adapt to evolving patient conditions in real-time while adhering to strict safety constraints. We present an online adaptive framework that integrates Treatment Effect (TE) estimation to quantify clinical benefits, a patient Digital Twin (DT) to simulate treatment trajectories, and Reinforcement Learning (RL) for sequential decision-making. The AI system is initially trained on historical medical records and operates in a continuous learning loop. To ensure safety, a rule-based module monitors vital signs and blocks contraindicated treatments. Cases with strong internal model disagreement are flagged for clinician review, simulated in our experiments via a pre-trained outcome model. We validate our framework using both a synthetic clinical simulator and a real-world ovarian cancer dataset from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). In both simulated and clinical settings, our method demonstrated superior effectiveness and stability in recommending treatments compared to standard computational baselines. Furthermore, the AI system maintains low latency and requires expert consultation for only a minority of cases in our experimental validation, demonstrating its potential as a safe, clinician-supervised tool for personalized medicine that continuously improves through practical use.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 11 of its 30 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 16 Jun 2026.

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References · 11

  1. 2016Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensemblescited by 3,926
  2. 2020Offline Reinforcement Learning: Tutorial, Review, and Perspectives on Open Problemscited by 1,920
  3. 2020Conservative Q-Learning for Offline Reinforcement Learningcited by 1,809
  4. 2015Deep Reinforcement Learning with Double Q-learningcited by 1,745
  5. 2018Off-Policy Deep Reinforcement Learning without Explorationcited by 1,241
  6. 2019What Clinicians Want: Contextualizing Explainable Machine Learning for Clinical End Usecited by 135
  7. 2021ReLAX: Reinforcement Learning Agent eXplainer for Arbitrary Predictive Modelscited by 25
  8. 2026Task-Specific Efficiency Analysis: When Small Language Models Outperform Large Language Modelscited by 15
  9. 2026CURE:Circuit-Aware Unlearning for LLM-based Recommendationcited by 6
  10. 2025NeuroMoE: A Transformer-Based Mixture-of-Experts Framework for Multi-Modal Neurological Disorder Classificationcited by 5
  11. 2025FROG: Fair Removal on Graphscited by 4

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