Structured Adaptive Tensor Prediction for Streaming Data
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Abstract (arXiv)
Matrix-valued time series arise in a wide range of applications, such as spatio-temporal data from medical imaging and geophysics. Existing methods are mainly designed for static settings and lack adaptability to streaming and time-varying environments. Adaptive filtering techniques have also been largely limited to data with scalar or vector values, leaving adaptive forecasting for matrix-valued time series inadequately understood. To bridge these gaps, we develop an adaptive tensor regression framework that includes Matrix-on-Matrix (MoM) and Tensor-on-Matrix (ToM) formulations for streaming matrix-valued prediction. The two formulations differ in whether to directly model matrix-valued outputs or to exploit temporal structure via higher-order tensor representations. For the proposed tensor regression framework, we develop stochastic gradient descent (SGD) algorithms for online learning. We show that stacking multiple responses across time into higher-order tensors improves performance; in particular, the ToM achieves lower steady-state error and stronger denoising capability than MoM, motivating our focus on the ToM model. We further characterize the tracking behavior of SGD under time-varying dynamics. From a statistical perspective, we establish fixed-time recovery guarantees for ToM under general low-dimensional structures, including sparsity, low-rankness, and their joint sparselow-rank models.
Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 31 of its 88 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 8 Jun 2026.
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31 of 88 references.
References · 31
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- 2019Nonconvex Low-Rank Tensor Completion from Noisy Datacited by 35
- 2021Scaling and Scalability: Provable Nonconvex Low-Rank Tensor Estimation from Incomplete Measurementscited by 28
- 2017On Polynomial Time Methods for Exact Low Rank Tensor Completioncited by 27
- 2021Generalized Low-rank plus Sparse Tensor Estimation by Fast Riemannian Optimizationcited by 24
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- 2018Autoregressive Models for Matrix-Valued Time Seriescited by 18
- 2022Tensor-on-Tensor Regression: Riemannian Optimization, Over-parameterization, Statistical-computational Gap, and Their Interplaycited by 15
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- 2016STORE: Sparse Tensor Response Regression and Neuroimaging Analysiscited by 11
- 2020Reduced-Rank Tensor-on-Tensor Regression and Tensor-variate Analysis of Variancecited by 10
19 more
- 2015Generalized Correntropy for Robust Adaptive Filteringcited by 9
- 2022Tensor Decompositions for Hyperspectral Data Processing in Remote Sensing: A Comprehensive Reviewcited by 9
- 2023Quantum State Tomography for Matrix Product Density Operatorscited by 9
- 2024Guaranteed Nonconvex Factorization Approach for Tensor Train Recoverycited by 8
- 2019Sparse Tensor Additive Regressioncited by 5
- 2021High-Dimensional Low-Rank Tensor Autoregressive Time Series Modelingcited by 5
- 2021Multi-linear Tensor Autoregressive Modelscited by 4
- 2022A machine learning-based framework for high resolution mapping of PM2.5 in Tehran, Iran, using MAIAC AOD datacited by 4
- 2024Computational and Statistical Guarantees for Tensor-on-Tensor Regression with Tensor Train Decompositioncited by 4
- 2025A Scalable Factorization Approach for High-Order Structured Tensor Recoverycited by 4
- 2019Maximum Correntropy Criterion with Variable Centercited by 3
- 2020Matrix Completion Methods for the Total Electron Content Video Reconstructioncited by 3
- 2024Robust Low-rank Tensor Train Recoverycited by 2
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- 2025Enhancing Quantum State Reconstruction with Structured Classical Shadowscited by 1
- 2025Fourier Low-rank and Sparse Tensor for Efficient Tensor Completioncited by 1
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