mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Towards Unified and Data-Efficient Prognostics and Health Management with Tabular Foundation Models

arXiv 2606.05481 ↗First posted 3 Jun 2026cs.LG cs.AI eess.SPcited by 1

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Abstract (arXiv)

Data-driven Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) uses time-varying condition-monitoring data to diagnose system states and estimate remaining useful life in engineered assets. These tasks are central to maintenance planning, but industrial PHM data are often fragmented, partially observed, and poorly labeled, which hinders supervised learning. Foundation models offer a route toward reusable predictive systems, yet most time-series foundation models are designed for forecasting and assume long, coherent, regularly sampled sequences. To address this gap, we propose a framework for applying Tabular Foundation Models to industrial time series using in-context learning, and we evaluate them on a variety of PHM tasks. By converting raw unit-level signals into tabular rows, we show that these models perform well across multiple tasks - including prognostics, and diagnostics - and are highly data efficient. We compare them directly with sequence models, transformer baselines, and gradient-boosted trees under a common evaluation protocol. The results indicate that tabular foundation models achieve the best average ranks across prognostic and diagnostic tasks. Our findings further show that PFN-based models are competitive in low-data regimes, that temporal context can be preserved in the tabular representation, and that performance depends on representative context construction under subsampling. These results demonstrate that tabular foundation models provide a practical and general interface for heterogeneous PHM problems.

Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 22 of its 57 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 3 Jun 2026.

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22 of 57 references.

References · 22

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  9. 2023Can Generalist Foundation Models Outcompete Special-Purpose Tuning? Case Study in Medicinecited by 329
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10 more
  1. 2024CARTE: Pretraining and Transfer for Tabular Learningcited by 76
  2. 2021Long-Range Transformers for Dynamic Spatiotemporal Forecastingcited by 46
  3. 2024A Survey of Deep Learning and Foundation Models for Time Series Forecastingcited by 33
  4. 2024Only the Curve Shape Matters: Training Foundation Models for Zero-Shot Multivariate Time Series Forecasting through Next Curve Shape Predictioncited by 11
  5. 2024PowerPM: Foundation Model for Power Systemscited by 9
  6. 2026PHMForge: Evaluating LLM Agents on Industrial Prognostics through MCP-Native, Algorithm-Grounded Toolscited by 4
  7. 2025UniFault: A Fault Diagnosis Foundation Model from Bearing Datacited by 3
  8. 2021To Charge or to Sell? EV Pack Useful Life Estimation via LSTMs, CNNs, and Autoencoderscited by 2
  9. 2026From paper to benchmark: agentic, framework-based reproduction of under-specified methods in machine health intelligencecited by 2
  10. 2026Picid: A Modular Evaluation Infrastructure for Reproducible PHM Across Tasks and Domainscited by 1

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