RL2ML: Finite-Rollout Surrogate Objectives from Reinforcement Learning to Maximum Likelihood

Correctness-based Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) trains language models from binary feedback on sampled outputs, but the objective optimized in expectation and the stochastic update geometry induced by finite rollout groups are often conflated. This paper develops RL2ML, a family of finite-rollout surrogate objectives with a closed-form, exactly unbiased gradient estimator. The family continuously connects standard reinforcement learning, maximum-likelihood-like training, and beyond-maximum-likelihood objectives while preserving estimator-objective alignment under a fixed rollout budget. We introduce the group-level update scale to characterize how a rollout group is reweighted after its empirical success count is observed, revealing a subcritical-supercritical update-scale transition that is hidden by population-level objective notation alone. Building on this distinction, calibrated metric-gain analysis and exact variance decomposition show that the best choice of surrogate objective is determined neither by proximity to maximum likelihood nor by the population-level weight alone. Instead, it depends jointly on the evaluation metric, local sensitivity, and estimator variance. The remaining degree of freedom in the surrogate objective family can therefore be formulated as a one-dimensional optimization problem rather than treated as an unconstrained hyperparameter.