mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

It's Not Always Sycophancy: Measuring LLM Conformity as a Function of Epistemic Uncertainty

arXiv 2605.27288 ↗First posted 26 May 2026cs.CL cs.AI cs.LGcited by 6

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Abstract (arXiv)

Large language models (LLMs) are known to abandon their initial stance to conform to user pushback. While prior research largely attributes this behavior to sycophancy learned during reinforcement learning from human feedback, we hypothesize that conformity is also driven by a model's epistemic uncertainty at inference time. In this paper, we introduce MUSE, a two-stage evaluation framework to disentangle the mechanisms driving LLM conformity. Specifically, MUSE maps a model's epistemic uncertainty in responding to a query against its likelihood to yield to user pushback in a subsequent turn. We demonstrate that the mechanisms driving conformity extend beyond sycophancy alone. Specifically, we characterize two distinct factors that jointly drive conformity: sycophantic conformity, where a model aligns with user pushback even with absolute certainty in its initial response, and uncertainty-driven conformity, where a model's likelihood for conformity increases alongside its uncertainty. Furthermore, we conduct ablation studies to demonstrate that both sycophantic conformity and uncertainty-driven conformity grow with 1) the LLM's perceived expertise of the user and 2) the plausibility of the user's suggestions. More broadly, MUSE informs more targeted intervention strategies by distinguishing alignment-induced sycophancy and training-corpora-driven uncertainty.

Key facts. Cited by 6 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 13 of its 24 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 26 May 2026.

Builds on

13 of 24 references.

References · 13

  1. 2024MMLU-Pro: A More Robust and Challenging Multi-Task Language Understanding Benchmarkcited by 1,848
  2. 2023Can LLMs Express Their Uncertainty? An Empirical Evaluation of Confidence Elicitation in LLMscited by 974
  3. 2023BloombergGPT: A Large Language Model for Financecited by 939
  4. 2019Aleatoric and Epistemic Uncertainty in Machine Learning: An Introduction to Concepts and Methodscited by 913
  5. 2022Discovering Language Model Behaviors with Model-Written Evaluationscited by 836
  6. 2023Semantic Uncertainty: Linguistic Invariances for Uncertainty Estimation in Natural Language Generationcited by 819
  7. 2022Teaching Models to Express Their Uncertainty in Wordscited by 751
  8. 2025LLMs Get Lost In Multi-Turn Conversationcited by 429
  9. 2021Surface Form Competition: Why the Highest Probability Answer Isn't Always Rightcited by 263
  10. 2025MedXpertQA: Benchmarking Expert-Level Medical Reasoning and Understandingcited by 224
  11. 2023In-Context Impersonation Reveals Large Language Models' Strengths and Biasescited by 155
  12. 2025A Survey of Uncertainty Estimation Methods on Large Language Modelscited by 62
1 more
  1. 2024Accounting for Sycophancy in Language Model Uncertainty Estimationcited by 18

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Citing papers per year: 2026: 6.

6 papers.

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  1. 2025When Truth Is Overridden: Uncovering the Internal Origins of Sycophancy in Large Language Models
  2. 2026Calibration Collapse Under Sycophancy Fine-Tuning: How Reward Hacking Breaks Uncertainty Quantification in LLMs
  3. 2026SPINE: Measuring LLM Sycophancy under Sustained Multi-Turn Pressure
  4. 2026From Passive Metric to Active Signal: The Evolving Role of Uncertainty Quantification in Large Language Models
  5. 2026Agentic Scaffolding Amplifies Sycophantic Behavior in Large Language Models
  6. 2024Sycophancy in Large Language Models: Causes and Mitigations
  7. 2025On the Effect of Uncertainty on Layer-wise Inference Dynamics
  8. 2026Rethinking Uncertainty Evaluation in Large Language Models