Auditing and Fixing Economic Validity in Tabular Foundation Models for Discrete Choice
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Abstract (arXiv)
Tabular foundation models achieve strong accuracy on choice prediction tasks, but their predictions often violate the economic logic those tasks require: raising a price sometimes increases predicted demand, and implied willingness-to-pay estimates are frequently negative or implausible. We propose a two-stage adapter that embeds foundation model predictions within a utility-maximization framework. In the first stage, we estimate a standard choice model whose parameters are constrained to obey economic theory. In the second stage, we freeze those parameters and train a correction term that incorporates the foundation model's predictions as additional information. The result is a model that inherits the foundation model's accuracy gains while guaranteeing monotonic price-demand relationships under policy perturbation and producing analytically computable trade-off measures. On two transportation datasets, the adapter recovers up to 13 percentage points of accuracy over a standard logit model while maintaining perfect economic consistency, something neither the raw foundation models nor conventional distillation achieve.
Key facts. Cited by 6 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 4 of its 13 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 26 May 2026.
Builds on
4 of 13 references.
References · 4
- 2015Distilling the Knowledge in a Neural Networkcited by 10,076
- 2025Mitra: Mixed Synthetic Priors for Enhancing Tabular Foundation Modelscited by 67
- 2021Choice modelling in the age of machine learning -- discussion papercited by 26
- 2020A Neural-embedded Choice Model: TasteNet-MNL Modeling Taste Heterogeneity with Flexibility and Interpretabilitycited by 20
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Citing papers per year: 2026: 6.
6 papers.
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- 2026Mind the Hook: Source-Level Auditing of Privacy Defenses in Retrieval-Augmented Generationcited by 0
- 2026Temporal Heterogeneous Graph Transformer for Credit Card Fraud Detectioncited by 0
- 2026Temporal Heterogeneous Graph Transformer for Credit Card Fraud Detection7 Sep 2026
- 2026Mind the Hook: Source-Level Auditing of Privacy Defenses in Retrieval-Augmented Generation10 Aug 2026
- 2026From Non-Convex Self-Concordant Regularization to Scalable Quasi-Newton Training of PINNs4 Aug 2026
- 2026Auditing the Audit: Five Failure Modes in Benchmark-Validity Audits1 Jul 2026
- 2026Probe Choice Changes Canary-Memorization Verdicts: Three Post-Hoc Disagreement Case Studies in a Text-Dominant LoRA-Tuned Autoregressive Testbed30 Jun 2026
- 2026Embedding Foundation Model Predictions in Discrete-Choice Models with Structural Guarantees24 Jun 2026