mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Healthcare LLM Benchmarks Are Only as Good as Their Explicit Assumptions

arXiv 2605.22612 ↗First posted 21 May 2026cs.CY cs.AI cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Benchmarks are necessary for healthcare evaluation, but are not sufficient for predicting deployment performance. Our position is that the evaluation--deployment gap arises not because of poorly designed benchmarks, but from implicit assumptions about how users interact with models that cannot be surfaced from benchmarks alone. To make this precise, we propose a classification of assumptions into two categories: task, which can be tested from conversation data alone, and outcome, which requires outcome data and behavioral studies for testing. Critically, outcome assumptions depend on human behavior, something that even well-designed benchmarks cannot directly observe. To demonstrate the operationality of this framework, we retrospectively analyze a healthcare RCT as a case study and find that the gap naturally separates into task and outcome gaps of roughly equal size. To address this, we make two contributions: first, we propose BenchmarkCards, an artifact that documents assumptions, and second, we propose staged evaluation, a procedure that systematically tests assumptions and evaluates performance.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 15 of its 44 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 21 May 2026.

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15 of 44 references.

References · 15

  1. 2018Datasheets for Datasetscited by 1,386
  2. 2020What Disease does this Patient Have? A Large-scale Open Domain Question Answering Dataset from Medical Examscited by 1,356
  3. 2018Model Cards for Model Reportingcited by 1,080
  4. 2021AI and the Everything in the Whole Wide World Benchmarkcited by 349
  5. 2019Measurement and Fairnesscited by 308
  6. 2023Large Language Models in Finance: A Surveycited by 226
  7. 2018Categorizing Variants of Goodhart's Lawcited by 149
  8. 2024Red-Teaming for Generative AI: Silver Bullet or Security Theater?cited by 83
  9. 2025Beyond Single-Turn: A Survey on Multi-Turn Interactions with Large Language Modelscited by 62
  10. 2022Evaluation Gaps in Machine Learning Practicecited by 49
  11. 2025Medical Large Language Model Benchmarks Should Prioritize Construct Validitycited by 38
  12. 2022A Validity Perspective on Evaluating the Justified Use of Data-driven Decision-making Algorithmscited by 30
3 more
  1. 2024Evaluating Generative AI Systems is a Social Science Measurement Challengecited by 23
  2. 2024A Shared Standard for Valid Measurement of Generative AI Systems' Capabilities, Risks, and Impactscited by 13
  3. 2025EvalCards: A Framework for Standardized Evaluation Reportingcited by 4

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