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Beyond Extrapolation: Knowledge Utilization Paradigm with Bidirectional Inspiration for Time Series Forecasting

arXiv 2605.19249 ↗First posted 19 May 2026cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Time-series forecasting is critical in various scenarios, such as energy, transportation, and public health. However, most existing forecasters rely primarily on one-way inference, textiti.e., mapping history to target, and overlook the structural information provided by a revised natural chain (``history (model input) -- target (ground-truth output) -- post-target continuation''). The post-target continuation records how trajectories evolve after the target, which can help stabilize forecasting, but it is not observable at inference time. In this work, we aim to obtain an approximate proxy of the post-target continuation for the current input, providing structural knowledge for bidirectional forecasting. This idea is instantiated as KUP-BI (Knowledge Utilization Paradigm with Bidirectional Inspiration), a new time-series modeling paradigm that distills continuation-style knowledge (as an approximate post-target continuation proxy) from a train-only historical library and integrates it into standard forecasting backbones. The input stream and the continuation-proxy stream are fused via a lightweight feature-level gating module. This design does not introduce information beyond what is already contained in the training trajectories; instead, it provides a structured inductive bias that helps backbones exploit typical continuation patterns rather than relying solely on parametric extrapolation. Experimental results on six public datasets show that KUP-BI consistently improves the forecasting performance of state-of-the-art models, with small additional overhead.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 17 of its 28 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 19 May 2026.

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References · 17

  1. 2019PyTorch: An Imperative Style, High-Performance Deep Learning Librarycited by 20,305
  2. 2019Optuna: A Next-generation Hyperparameter Optimization Frameworkcited by 2,501
  3. 2022A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformerscited by 2,039
  4. 2021Autoformer: Decomposition Transformers with Auto-Correlation for Long-Term Series Forecastingcited by 1,676
  5. 2022Are Transformers Effective for Time Series Forecasting?cited by 1,424
  6. 2022FEDformer: Frequency Enhanced Decomposed Transformer for Long-term Series Forecastingcited by 1,210
  7. 2022TimesNet: Temporal 2D-Variation Modeling for General Time Series Analysiscited by 1,058
  8. 2023iTransformer: Inverted Transformers Are Effective for Time Series Forecastingcited by 931
  9. 2017Modeling Long- and Short-Term Temporal Patterns with Deep Neural Networkscited by 879
  10. 2023Time-LLM: Time Series Forecasting by Reprogramming Large Language Modelscited by 700
  11. 2022Transformers in Time Series: A Surveycited by 497
  12. 2023Exploring Progress in Multivariate Time Series Forecasting: Comprehensive Benchmarking and Heterogeneity Analysiscited by 117
5 more
  1. 2024Retrieval Augmented Time Series Forecastingcited by 46
  2. 2024TimeBridge: Non-Stationarity Matters for Long-term Time Series Forecastingcited by 40
  3. 2025TS-RAG: Retrieval-Augmented Generation based Time Series Foundation Models are Stronger Zero-Shot Forecastercited by 40
  4. 2024xPatch: Dual-Stream Time Series Forecasting with Exponential Seasonal-Trend Decompositioncited by 36
  5. 2025Patch-wise Structural Loss for Time Series Forecastingcited by 35

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