Latent Chain-of-Thought Improves Structured-Data Transformers
On the map: LLM reasoning → Prompting and chain-of-thought reasoning
Abstract (arXiv)
Chain-of-thought and more broadly test-time compute are known to augment the expressive capabilities of language models and have led to major innovations in reasoning. Motivated by this success, this paper explores latent chain-of-thought as well as the impact of depth and looping for time-series and tabular data. We propose a recurrent scheme in which a structured-data transformer, after an initial forward pass, compresses its query-position hidden states into feedback tokens that are appended to the input and processed again, allowing multiple rounds of latent computation before prediction. We compare CoT models against a same-depth no-CoT baseline, a deeper baseline matched to the CoT model in effective depth, and a looped transformer with weight-tied recurrence but no additional chain-of-thought tokens. Across 36 datasets in time-series forecasting and tabular prediction, latent chain-of-thought improves over the baseline on 7/9 time-series datasets (+12.63% average gain) and 23/27 tabular datasets (+3.25% average gain), with CoT models performing best on average in both settings. We also show that the benefit of CoT extends to pretrained foundation models: applying latent CoT to nanoTabPFN, a small open-source tabular foundation model, improves its performance above the much larger TabPFN-v2 on TabArena. Together, these results demonstrate that chain-of-thought is a useful axis for scaling test-time compute for structured data.
Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in Prompting and chain-of-thought reasoning, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning. Builds on 18 of its 22 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 11 May 2026.
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18 of 22 references.
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- 2025Continuous Chain of Thought Enables Parallel Exploration and Reasoning29 May
- 2024Training Large Language Models to Reason in a Continuous Latent Space9 Dec
- 2022Chain-of-Thought Prompting Elicits Reasoning in Large Language Models28 Jan
Other references · 15
- 2025DeepSeek-R1: Incentivizing Reasoning Capability in LLMs via Reinforcement Learningcited by 6,146
- 2016XGBoost: A Scalable Tree Boosting Systemcited by 5,120
- 2022A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformerscited by 1,981
- 2024Scaling LLM Test-Time Compute Optimally can be More Effective than Scaling Model Parameterscited by 1,928
- 2022Are Transformers Effective for Time Series Forecasting?cited by 1,400
- 2023A decoder-only foundation model for time-series forecastingcited by 650
- 2022TabPFN: A Transformer That Solves Small Tabular Classification Problems in a Secondcited by 643
- 2024Unified Training of Universal Time Series Forecasting Transformerscited by 588
- 2025Scaling up Test-Time Compute with Latent Reasoning: A Recurrent Depth Approachcited by 372
- 2025TabICL: A Tabular Foundation Model for In-Context Learning on Large Datacited by 267
- 2023Think before you speak: Training Language Models With Pause Tokenscited by 254
- 2025Towards Thinking-Optimal Scaling of Test-Time Compute for LLM Reasoningcited by 118
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- 2025Latent Chain-of-Thought? Decoding the Depth-Recurrent Transformer
- 2025Eliciting Chain-of-Thought Reasoning for Time Series Analysis using Reinforcement Learning
- 2026Bridging the Gap Between Latent and Explicit Reasoning with Looped Transformers
- 2026Latent Reasoning with Normalizing Flows
- 2025Output Scaling: YingLong-Delayed Chain of Thought in a Large Pretrained Time Series Forecasting Model
- 2025A Formal Comparison Between Chain of Thought and Latent Thought
- 2024Autoregressive + Chain of Thought = Recurrent: Recurrence's Role in Language Models' Computability and a Revisit of Recurrent Transformer
- 2024From Sparse Dependence to Sparse Attention: Unveiling How Chain-of-Thought Enhances Transformer Sample Efficiency