LLM hallucinations in the wild: Large-scale evidence from non-existent citations
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Abstract (arXiv)
Large language models (LLMs) are known to generate plausible but false information across a wide range of contexts, yet the real-world magnitude and consequences of this hallucination problem remain poorly understood. Here we leverage a uniquely verifiable object - scientific citations - to audit 111 million references across 2.5 million papers in arXiv, bioRxiv, SSRN, and PubMed Central. We find a sharp rise in non-existent references following widespread LLM adoption, with a conservative estimate of 146,932 hallucinated citations in 2025 alone. These errors are diffusely embedded across many papers but especially pronounced in fields with rapid AI uptake, in manuscripts with linguistic signatures of AI-assisted writing, and among small and early-career author teams. At the same time, hallucinated references disproportionately assign credit to already prominent and male scholars, suggesting that LLM-generated errors may reinforce existing inequities in scientific recognition. Preprint moderation and journal publication processes capture only a fraction of these errors, suggesting that the spread of hallucinated content has outpaced existing safeguards. Together, these findings demonstrate that LLM hallucinations are infiltrating knowledge production at scale, threatening both the reliability and equity of future scientific discovery as human and AI systems draw on the existing literature.
Key facts. Cited by 7 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 10 of its 38 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 8 May 2026.
Builds on
10 of 38 references.
References · 10
- 2026Scientific production in the era of Large Language Modelscited by 32
- 2026HalluCitation Matters: Revealing the Impact of Hallucinated References with 300 Hallucinated Papers in ACL Conferencescited by 19
- 2023Quantifying and Attributing the Hallucination of Large Language Models via Association Analysiscited by 15
- 2025FLAWS: A Benchmark for Error Identification and Localization in Scientific Paperscited by 14
- 2025Exploring the use of AI authors and reviewers at Agents4Sciencecited by 13
- 2025Academic journals' AI policies fail to curb the surge in AI-assisted academic writingcited by 12
- 2026BibAgent: An Agentic Framework for Traceable Miscitation Detection in Scientific Literaturecited by 9
- 2024Where there's a will there's a way: ChatGPT is used more for science in countries where it is prohibitedcited by 6
- 2026FACTUM: Mechanistic Detection of Citation Hallucination in Long-Form RAGcited by 6
- 2025To Err Is Human: Systematic Quantification of Errors in Published AI Papers via LLM Analysiscited by 5
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2026: 7.
7 papers.
- 2026Distributed Denial of Science: How Indirect Data Poisoning of AI Systems Can Industrialize Scientific Fraudcited by 2
- 2026Most biomedical publications show signs of LLM-assisted writingcited by 2
- 2026AI Scientists as Engines of Discovery: A Case for Development within Reformed Institutionscited by 1
- 2026Phantom References: Hallucinated Citations That Survive Peer Review at Top-Tier Conferencescited by 1
- 2026The Emerging AI Paper-Review Arms Race: Adversarial Co-Evolution in Scholarly Publishingcited by 1
- 2026Scientific exploration, collaboration and labor division in the large language model eracited by 0
- 2026Citing Less Critically: LLMs Reshape the Rhetoric and Reach of Scientific Citationcited by 0
- 2026The Emerging AI Paper-Review Arms Race: Adversarial Co-Evolution in Scholarly Publishing7 Sep 2026
- 2026Citing Less Critically: LLMs Reshape the Rhetoric and Reach of Scientific Citation1 Sep 2026
- 2026Most biomedical publications show signs of LLM-assisted writing11 Aug 2026
- 2026Scientific exploration, collaboration and labor division in the large language model era23 Jul 2026
- 2026Distributed Denial of Science: How Indirect Data Poisoning of AI Systems Can Industrialize Scientific Fraud12 Jul 2026
- 2026Phantom References: Hallucinated Citations That Survive Peer Review at Top-Tier Conferences1 Jul 2026
- 2026AI Scientists as Engines of Discovery: A Case for Development within Reformed Institutions22 Jun 2026