Partially Observed Structural Causal Models
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Abstract (arXiv)
Here we introduce Partially Observed Structural Causal Models (POSCMs) as an extension of structural causal models (SCMs) to settings where upstream contexts co-determine both the interaction structure and downstream mechanisms on observed variables. POSCMs thus provide a self-contained causal modeling framework for endogenous graphs, allowing for an intervention hierarchy spanning node- and edge-level contexts and endogenous variable interventions. To define edge interventions, we separate node mechanisms into edge-local transmission channels that can be modified without changing the source node or the rest of the target mechanism. We provide an identifiability theory that clarifies which intervention families would suffice to disentangle structure formation from mechanisms. We then empirically validate these theoretical results in two external simulators: a biophysically detailed virtual human retina and a gene-regulatory analogue. The experiments reproduce non-identifiability under latent context, expose structure-mechanism confounding under latent edges, and recover pathway-level input-output relationships under targeted interventions, consistent with our positive Markov kernel identifiability results. Together, POSCMs provide an intervention-oriented framework for causal systems in which contexts, graph structure, mechanisms, and measurements are jointly generated and only partially observed.
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References · 12
- 2015Causal inference using invariant prediction: identification and confidence intervalscited by 536
- 2013CAM: Causal additive models, high-dimensional order search and penalized regressioncited by 178
- 2016Foundations of Structural Causal Models with Cycles and Latent Variablescited by 134
- 2015External Validity: From Do-Calculus to Transportability Across Populationscited by 75
- 2022Causal Discovery in Heterogeneous Environments Under the Sparse Mechanism Shift Hypothesiscited by 55
- 2013Context-Specific Independence in Bayesian Networkscited by 43
- 2018Constraint-based Causal Discovery for Non-Linear Structural Causal Models with Cycles and Latent Confounderscited by 35
- 2020Identifying Causal Effects via Context-specific Independence Relationscited by 22
- 2013A Sound and Complete Algorithm for Learning Causal Models from Relational Datacited by 12
- 2014Causal Inference with a Graphical Hierarchy of Interventionscited by 11
- 2021Causal Effect Identification with Context-specific Independence Relations of Control Variablescited by 8
- 2024A General Identification Algorithm For Data Fusion Problems Under Systematic Selectioncited by 5
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