mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

When Valid Signals Fail: Regime Boundaries Between LLM Features and RL Trading Policies

arXiv 2604.10996 ↗First posted 13 Apr 2026cs.CL cs.AI cs.CEcited by 1

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Abstract (arXiv)

Can large language models (LLMs) generate continuous numerical features that improve reinforcement learning (RL) trading agents? We build a modular pipeline where a frozen LLM serves as a stateless feature extractor, transforming unstructured daily news and filings into a fixed-dimensional vector consumed by a downstream PPO agent. We introduce an automated prompt-optimization loop that treats the extraction prompt as a discrete hyperparameter and tunes it directly against the Information Coefficient - the Spearman rank correlation between predicted and realized returns - rather than NLP losses. The optimized prompt discovers genuinely predictive features (IC above 0.15 on held-out data). However, these valid intermediate representations do not automatically translate into downstream task performance: during a distribution shift caused by a macroeconomic shock, LLM-derived features add noise, and the augmented agent under-performs a price-only baseline. In a calmer test regime the agent recovers, yet macroeconomic state variables remain the most robust driver of policy improvement. Our findings highlight a gap between feature-level validity and policy-level robustness that parallels known challenges in transfer learning under distribution shift.

Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 3 of its 12 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 13 Apr 2026.

Builds on

3 of 12 references.

References · 3

  1. 2020Conservative Q-Learning for Offline Reinforcement Learningcited by 1,809
  2. 2021Recent Advances in Reinforcement Learning in Financecited by 110
  3. 2020FinRL: A Deep Reinforcement Learning Library for Automated Stock Trading in Quantitative Financecited by 87

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  1. 2025Language Model Guided Reinforcement Learning in Quantitative Trading
  2. 2025FLAG-Trader: Fusion LLM-Agent with Gradient-based Reinforcement Learning for Financial Trading
  3. 2025ATLAS: Adaptive Trading with LLM AgentS Through Dynamic Prompt Optimization and Multi-Agent Coordination
  4. 2025Two Heads are Better than One: Distilling Large Language Model Features Into Small Models with Feature Decomposition and Mixture
  5. 2025Agent Trading Arena: A Study on Numerical Understanding in LLM-Based Agents
  6. 2026Learning to Trade Like an Expert: Cognitive Fine-Tuning for Stable Financial Reasoning in Language Models
  7. 2025Exploring Sentiment Manipulation by LLM-Enabled Intelligent Trading Agents
  8. 2026EvolveTrade: Experience-Driven Policy Refinement for Self-Evolving LLM Trading Agents