Online Intention Prediction via Control-Informed Learning
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Abstract (arXiv)
This paper presents an online intention prediction framework for estimating the goal state of autonomous systems in real time, even when intention is time-varying, and system dynamics or objectives include unknown parameters. The problem is formulated as an inverse optimal control / inverse reinforcement learning task, with the intention treated as a parameter in the objective. A shifting horizon strategy discounts outdated information, while online control-informed learning enables efficient gradient computation and online parameter updates. Simulations under varying noise levels and hardware experiments on a quadrotor drone demonstrate that the proposed approach achieves accurate, adaptive intention prediction in complex environments.
Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 14 of its 29 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 10 Apr 2026.
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References · 14
- 2020TNT: Target-driveN Trajectory Predictioncited by 345
- 2021DenseTNT: End-to-end Trajectory Prediction from Dense Goal Setscited by 292
- 2019Human Motion Trajectory Prediction: A Surveycited by 231
- 2022Model-Based Imitation Learning for Urban Drivingcited by 149
- 2020Spatiotemporal Relationship Reasoning for Pedestrian Intent Predictioncited by 71
- 2019Pontryagin Differentiable Programming: An End-to-End Learning and Control Frameworkcited by 48
- 2020Driving Behavior Modeling using Naturalistic Human Driving Data with Inverse Reinforcement Learningcited by 46
- 2019Imitation Learning for Human Pose Predictioncited by 44
- 2019Forecasting Trajectory and Behavior of Road-Agents Using Spectral Clustering in Graph-LSTMscited by 34
- 2020Efficient Sampling-Based Maximum Entropy Inverse Reinforcement Learning with Application to Autonomous Drivingcited by 34
- 2019Modeling Multi-Vehicle Interaction Scenarios Using Gaussian Random Fieldcited by 9
- 2023A Data-Driven Approach for Inverse Optimal Controlcited by 3
2 more
- 2024Online Control-Informed Learningcited by 3
- 2025Safe Online Control-Informed Learningcited by 1
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- 2024Toward Information Theoretic Active Inverse Reinforcement Learning
- 2023Pilot Performance modeling via observer-based inverse reinforcement learning
- 2025Foresight in Motion: Reinforcing Trajectory Prediction with Reward Heuristics
- 2023Human-Like Implicit Intention Expression for Autonomous Driving Motion Planning: A Method Based on Learning Human Intention Priors
- 2019Scene Induced Multi-Modal Trajectory Forecasting via Planning ↗
- 2020Online inverse reinforcement learning with limited data
- 2018A Framework and Method for Online Inverse Reinforcement Learning
- 2022Basis for Intentions: Efficient Inverse Reinforcement Learning using Past Experience