Adaptive Stopping for Multi-Turn LLM Reasoning
On the map: LLM reasoning → Test-time compute and efficient thinking
also in 1 more
Abstract (arXiv)
Large Language Models (LLMs) increasingly rely on multi-turn reasoning and interaction, such as adaptive retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) and ReAct-style agents, to answer difficult questions. These methods improve accuracy by iteratively retrieving information, reasoning, or acting, but introduce a key challenge: When should the model stop? Existing approaches rely on heuristic stopping rules or fixed turn budgets and provide no formal guarantees that the final prediction still contains the correct answer. This limitation is particularly problematic in high-stakes domains such as finance and healthcare, where unnecessary turns increase cost and latency, while stopping too early risks incorrect decisions. Conformal prediction (CP) provides formal coverage guarantees, but existing LLM-CP methods only apply to a single model output and cannot handle multi-turn pipelines with adaptive stopping. To address this gap, we propose Multi-Turn Language Models with Conformal Prediction (MiCP), the first CP framework for multi-turn reasoning. MiCP allocates different error budgets across turns, enabling the model to stop early while maintaining an overall coverage guarantee. We demonstrate MiCP on adaptive RAG and ReAct, where it achieves the target coverage on both single-hop and multi-hop question answering benchmarks while reducing the number of turns, inference cost, and prediction set size. We further introduce a new metric that jointly evaluates coverage validity and answering efficiency.
Key facts. Cited by 7 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in Test-time compute and efficient thinking, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning. Builds on 14 of its 38 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 1 Apr 2026.
Builds on
14 of 38 references.
Closest ancestors · 1
Same direction, newest first
Other references · 13
- 2023GPT-4 Technical Reportcited by 18,132
- 2024Gemma: Open Models Based on Gemini Research and Technologycited by 889
- 2021A Gentle Introduction to Conformal Prediction and Distribution-Free Uncertainty Quantificationcited by 777
- 2023Conformal Language Modelingcited by 163
- 2023Conformal Prediction with Large Language Models for Multi-Choice Question Answeringcited by 131
- 2024Language Models with Conformal Factuality Guaranteescited by 128
- 2024DRAGIN: Dynamic Retrieval Augmented Generation based on the Information Needs of Large Language Modelscited by 63
- 2024SeaKR: Self-aware Knowledge Retrieval for Adaptive Retrieval Augmented Generationcited by 40
- 2024Rowen: Adaptive Retrieval-Augmented Generation for Hallucination Mitigation in LLMscited by 27
- 2025Analyzing Uncertainty of LLM-as-a-Judge: Interval Evaluations with Conformal Predictioncited by 26
- 2025QuCo-RAG: Quantifying Uncertainty from the Pre-training Corpus for Dynamic Retrieval-Augmented Generationcited by 10
- 2024Conformal Structured Predictioncited by 9
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2026: 7.
7 papers.
- 2026BAGEN: Are LLM Agents Budget-Aware?cited by 12
- 2026Self-Correcting RAG: Enhancing Faithfulness via MMKP Context Selection and NLI-Guided MCTScited by 5
- 2026Retrieval as Generation: A Unified Framework with Self-Triggered Information Planningcited by 5
- 2026Safe to Stop? Risk-Constrained Stopping for Sequential Clinical Diagnosis Agentscited by 1
- 2026Escaping Redundant Reasoning: Structure-Aware Search for Inference-Time LLMscited by 0
- 2026Uncertainty Quantification for LLM Agents: A Taxonomy, an Evaluation Protocol, and an Empirical Studycited by 0
- 2026What Can Component-Replacement Evidence Establish? A Critical Scoping Review of Local Decisions in LLM Agentscited by 0
- 2026What Can Component-Replacement Evidence Establish? A Critical Scoping Review of Local Decisions in LLM Agents30 Sep 2026
- 2026Safe to Stop? Risk-Constrained Stopping for Sequential Clinical Diagnosis Agents9 Sep 2026
- 2026Uncertainty Quantification for LLM Agents: A Taxonomy, an Evaluation Protocol, and an Empirical Study7 Sep 2026
- 2026Escaping Redundant Reasoning: Structure-Aware Search for Inference-Time LLMs1 Sep 2026
- 2026BAGEN: Are LLM Agents Budget-Aware?29 May 2026
- 2026Retrieval as Generation: A Unified Framework with Self-Triggered Information Planning13 Apr 2026
- 2026Self-Correcting RAG: Enhancing Faithfulness via MMKP Context Selection and NLI-Guided MCTS12 Apr 2026
Similar, not cited
Close in wording, no citation either way
- 2026Not All Turns Are Equally Hard: Adaptive Thinking Budgets For Efficient Multi-Turn Reasoning in Agents
- 2026How Many Iterations to Jailbreak? Dynamic Budget Allocation for Multi-Turn LLM Evaluation
- 2025TurnBench-MS: A Benchmark for Evaluating Multi-Turn, Multi-Step Reasoning in Large Language Models
- 2026Conformal Thinking: Risk Control for Reasoning on a Compute Budget
- 2025MTR-Bench: A Comprehensive Benchmark for Multi-Turn Reasoning Evaluation
- 2026REVES: REvision and VErification--Augmented Training for Test-Time Scaling
- 2025Reasoning on a Budget: A Survey of Adaptive and Controllable Test-Time Compute in LLMs
- 2025SWEET-RL: Training Multi-Turn LLM Agents on Collaborative Reasoning Tasks