mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

MBD: A Model-Based Debiasing Framework Across User, Content, and Model Dimensions

arXiv 2603.14422 ↗First posted 15 Mar 2026cs.LG cs.AI cs.IRcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Modern recommendation systems rank candidates by aggregating multiple behavioral signals through a value model. However, many commonly used signals are inherently affected by heterogeneous biases. For example, watch time naturally favors long-form content, loop rate favors short - form content, and comment probability favors videos over images. Such biases introduce two critical issues: (1) value model scores may be systematically misaligned with users' relative preferences - for instance, a seemingly low absolute like probability may represent exceptionally strong interest for a user who rarely engages; and (2) changes in value modeling rules can trigger abrupt and undesirable ecosystem shifts. In this work, we ask a fundamental question: can biased behavioral signals be systematically transformed into unbiased signals, under a user - defined notion of ``unbiasedness'', that are both personalized and adaptive? We propose a general, model-based debiasing (MBD) framework that addresses this challenge by augmenting it with distributional modeling. By conditioning on a flexible subset of features (partial feature set), we explicitly estimate the contextual mean and variance of the engagement distribution for arbitrary cohorts (e.g., specific video lengths or user regions) directly alongside the main prediction. This integration allows the framework to convert biased raw signals into unbiased representations, enabling the construction of higher-level, calibrated signals (such as percentiles or z - scores) suitable for the value model. Importantly, the definition of unbiasedness is flexible and controllable, allowing the system to adapt to different personalization objectives and modeling preferences. Crucially, this is implemented as a lightweight, built-in branch of the existing MTML ranking model, requiring no separate serving infrastructure.

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References · 20

  1. 2017Deep & Cross Network for Ad Click Predictionscited by 392
  2. 2020DCN V2: Improved Deep & Cross Network and Practical Lessons for Web-scale Learning to Rank Systemscited by 326
  3. 2016Recommendations as Treatments: Debiasing Learning and Evaluationcited by 246
  4. 2020Bias and Debias in Recommender System: A Survey and Future Directionscited by 239
  5. 2023Prediction-Powered Inferencecited by 214
  6. 2020Model-Agnostic Counterfactual Reasoning for Eliminating Popularity Bias in Recommender Systemcited by 94
  7. 2024Large language model validity via enhanced conformal prediction methodscited by 91
  8. 2021Deconfounded Recommendation for Alleviating Bias Amplificationcited by 51
  9. 2022Causal Inference in Recommender Systems: A Survey and Future Directionscited by 44
  10. 2022Deconfounding Duration Bias in Watch-time Prediction for Video Recommendationcited by 37
  11. 2022DVR: Micro-Video Recommendation Optimizing Watch-Time-Gain under Duration Biascited by 13
  12. 2020Exploration in Online Advertising Systems with Deep Uncertainty-Aware Learningcited by 12
8 more
  1. 2022Unbiased Knowledge Distillation for Recommendationcited by 11
  2. 2023Alleviating Video-Length Effect for Micro-video Recommendationcited by 8
  3. 2024Conditional Quantile Estimation for Uncertain Watch Time in Short-Video Recommendationcited by 6
  4. 2022Debiasing Neural Retrieval via In-batch Balancing Regularizationcited by 5
  5. 2024SWaT: Statistical Modeling of Video Watch Time through User Behavior Analysiscited by 5
  6. 2025Deep Distributional Learning with Non-crossing Quantile Networkcited by 5
  7. 2025AlignPxtr: Aligning Predicted Behavior Distributions for Bias-Free Video Recommendationscited by 4
  8. 2024Epinet for Content Cold Startcited by 1

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