mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Certainty robustness: Evaluating LLM stability under self-challenging prompts

arXiv 2603.03330 ↗First posted 10 Feb 2026cs.CL cs.AIcited by 2

Not on the map. Why?

Abstract (arXiv)

Large language models (LLMs) often present answers with high apparent confidence despite lacking an explicit mechanism for reasoning about certainty or truth. While existing benchmarks primarily evaluate single-turn accuracy, truthfulness or confidence calibration, they do not capture how models behave when their responses are challenged in interactive settings. We introduce the Certainty Robustness Benchmark, a two-turn evaluation framework that measures how LLMs balance stability and adaptability under self-challenging prompts such as uncertainty ("Are you sure?") and explicit contradiction ("You are wrong!"), alongside numeric confidence elicitation. Using 200 reasoning and mathematics questions from LiveBench, we evaluate four state-of-the-art LLMs and distinguish between justified self-corrections and unjustified answer changes. Our results reveal substantial differences in interactive reliability that are not explained by baseline accuracy alone: some models abandon correct answers under conversational pressure, while others demonstrate strong resistance to challenge and better alignment between confidence and correctness. These findings identify certainty robustness as a distinct and critical dimension of LLM evaluation, with important implications for alignment, trustworthiness and real-world deployment.

Key facts. Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 12 of its 14 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 10 Feb 2026.

Builds on

12 of 14 references.

References · 12

  1. 2017Attention Is All You Needcited by 59,932
  2. 2020Measuring Massive Multitask Language Understandingcited by 7,768
  3. 2022Self-Consistency Improves Chain of Thought Reasoning in Language Modelscited by 5,601
  4. 2021TruthfulQA: Measuring How Models Mimic Human Falsehoodscited by 2,919
  5. 2022Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Knowcited by 1,783
  6. 2023Towards Understanding Sycophancy in Language Modelscited by 988
  7. 2022Teaching Models to Express Their Uncertainty in Wordscited by 731
  8. 2023Are You Sure? Challenging LLMs Leads to Performance Drops in The FlipFlop Experimentcited by 71
  9. 2023Won't Get Fooled Again: Answering Questions with False Premisescited by 47
  10. 2024Calibrating Long-form Generations from Large Language Modelscited by 31
  11. 2024Easy Problems That LLMs Get Wrongcited by 29
  12. 2024Finetuning Language Models to Emit Linguistic Expressions of Uncertaintycited by 25

Built on by

Cited by year (2026 to 7 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2026: 2.

2 papers.