mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

MAST: A Multi-fidelity Augmented Surrogate model via Spatial Trust-weighting

arXiv 2602.20974 ↗First posted 24 Feb 2026cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

In engineering design and scientific computing, computational cost and predictive accuracy are intrinsically coupled. High-fidelity simulations provide accurate predictions but at substantial computational costs, while lower-fidelity approximations offer efficiency at the expense of accuracy. Multi-fidelity surrogate modelling addresses this trade-off by combining abundant low-fidelity data with sparse high-fidelity observations. However, existing methods rely on global correlation assumptions that can often fail in practice to capture how fidelity relationships vary across the input space, leading to poor performance, particularly under tight budget constraints. We introduce MAST, a method that blends corrected low-fidelity observations with high-fidelity predictions, trusting high-fidelity near observed samples and relying on corrected low-fidelity elsewhere. MAST achieves this through explicit discrepancy modelling and distance-based weighting with closed-form variance propagation, producing a single heteroscedastic Gaussian process. Across multi-fidelity synthetic benchmarks, MAST shows a marked improvement over the current state-of-the-art techniques. Crucially, MAST maintains robust performance across varying total budget and fidelity gaps, conditions under which competing methods exhibit significant degradation or unstable behaviour. More broadly, MAST provides a spatially adaptive framework for multi-fidelity Gaussian-process modelling, in which the contribution of low-fidelity information is governed by its proximity to high-fidelity calibration data, opening a new direction for more reliable surrogate construction under sparse and budget-constrained settings.

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14 of 55 references.

References · 14

  1. 2017Multi-fidelity Bayesian Optimisation with Continuous Approximationscited by 120
  2. 2025TabPFN-2.5: Advancing the State of the Art in Tabular Foundation Modelscited by 115
  3. 2019Practical Multi-fidelity Bayesian Optimization for Hyperparameter Tuningcited by 91
  4. 2016Multi-Information Source Optimizationcited by 83
  5. 2022Recent Advances in Bayesian Optimizationcited by 74
  6. 2014Input Warping for Bayesian Optimization of Non-stationary Functionscited by 66
  7. 2018A General Framework for Multi-fidelity Bayesian Optimization with Gaussian Processescited by 52
  8. 2019Deep Gaussian Processes for Multi-fidelity Modelingcited by 48
  9. 2020Overview of Gaussian process based multi-fidelity techniques with variable relationship between fidelitiescited by 24
  10. 2022Multi-Fidelity Bayesian Optimization with Unreliable Information Sourcescited by 17
  11. 2023GP+: A Python Library for Kernel-based learning via Gaussian Processescited by 17
  12. 2023Multi-fidelity Bayesian Optimization: A Reviewcited by 12
2 more
  1. 2024Practical multi-fidelity machine learning: fusion of deterministic and Bayesian modelscited by 4
  2. 2026FIRE: Multi-fidelity Regression with Distribution-conditioned In-context Learning using Tabular Foundation Modelscited by 1

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