mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Whom to Query for What: Adaptive Group Elicitation via Multi-Turn LLM Interactions

arXiv 2602.14279 ↗First posted 15 Feb 2026cs.LG cs.AI cs.CLcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Eliciting information to reduce uncertainty about latent group-level properties from surveys and other collective assessments requires allocating limited questioning effort under real costs and missing data. Although large language models enable adaptive, multi-turn interactions in natural language, most existing elicitation methods optimize what to ask with a fixed respondent pool, and do not adapt respondent selection or leverage population structure when responses are partial or incomplete. To address this gap, we study adaptive group elicitation, a multi-round setting where an agent adaptively selects both questions and respondents under explicit query and participation budgets. We propose a theoretically grounded framework that combines (i) an LLM-based expected information gain objective for scoring candidate questions with (ii) heterogeneous graph neural network propagation that aggregates observed responses and participant attributes to impute missing responses and guide per-round respondent selection. This closed-loop procedure queries a small, informative subset of individuals while inferring population-level responses via structured similarity. Across three real-world opinion datasets, our method consistently improves population-level response prediction under constrained budgets, including a >12% relative gain on CES at a 10% respondent budget.

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References · 15

  1. 2016Semi-Supervised Classification with Graph Convolutional Networkscited by 11,282
  2. 2023MetaGPT: Meta Programming for A Multi-Agent Collaborative Frameworkcited by 1,761
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  4. 2018Relational inductive biases, deep learning, and graph networkscited by 1,341
  5. 2021An Explanation of In-context Learning as Implicit Bayesian Inferencecited by 915
  6. 2023Whose Opinions Do Language Models Reflect?cited by 759
  7. 2023MedAgents: Large Language Models as Collaborators for Zero-shot Medical Reasoningcited by 311
  8. 2024Debating with More Persuasive LLMs Leads to More Truthful Answerscited by 255
  9. 2023Modern Bayesian Experimental Designcited by 121
  10. 2021Deep Adaptive Design: Amortizing Sequential Bayesian Experimental Designcited by 103
  11. 2021Implicit Deep Adaptive Design: Policy-Based Experimental Design without Likelihoodscited by 61
  12. 2021Martingale posterior distributionscited by 43
3 more
  1. 2025Twin-2K-500: A dataset for building digital twins of over 2,000 people based on their answers to over 500 questionscited by 17
  2. 2025Adaptive Elicitation of Latent Information Using Natural Languagecited by 7
  3. 2025Graph-Based Alternatives to LLMs for Human Simulationcited by 1

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