mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

On the Meta-Design of Allocation Problems

arXiv 2602.08786 ↗First posted 9 Feb 2026cs.CY cs.LGcited by 0

Not on the map. Why?

Abstract (arXiv)

There is an extensive literature that studies how to find optimal policies in resource allocation problems, taking the underlying design parameters that define the allocation, such as what data is collected, how many people can be served, and quality of service as fixed constraints. Yet, from a planner's perspective, these design parameters are themselves optimization variables that are just as important in determining overall welfare as selecting the optimal targeting rule for a given set of constraints. This realization motivates a rich set of meta-design questions exploring how planners should make principled decisions about investments in prediction, capacity constraints, and treatment quality, all of which lie upstream of classical policy optimization. Building on initial theoretical work in this space, our paper has three main contributions. First, we formally define the broad meta-design space of resource allocation problems. Second, we develop empirical tools that enable practitioners to reliably navigate it. Third, we demonstrate the framework in two real-world case studies on German employment services and targeted cash transfer programs in Ethiopia.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 20 of its 58 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 9 Feb 2026.

Builds on

20 of 58 references.

References · 20

  1. 2017Meta-learners for Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects using Machine Learningcited by 475
  2. 2017Smart "Predict, then Optimize"cited by 332
  3. 2018Optimization with Non-Differentiable Constraints with Applications to Fairness, Recall, Churn, and Other Goalscited by 103
  4. 2019Counterfactual Risk Assessments, Evaluation, and Fairnesscited by 59
  5. 2017Balanced Policy Evaluation and Learningcited by 51
  6. 2023Difficult Lessons on Social Prediction from Wisconsin Public Schoolscited by 35
  7. 2022Contextual Bandits with Packing and Covering Constraints: A Modular Lagrangian Approach via Regressioncited by 30
  8. 2022Omnipredictors for Constrained Optimizationcited by 14
  9. 2023The Relative Value of Prediction in Algorithmic Decision Makingcited by 14
  10. 2024From the Fair Distribution of Predictions to the Fair Distribution of Social Goods: Evaluating the Impact of Fair Machine Learning on Long-Term Unemploymentcited by 12
  11. 2024Allocation Requires Prediction Only if Inequality Is Lowcited by 8
  12. 2024Scarce Resource Allocations That Rely On Machine Learning Should Be Randomizedcited by 7
8 more
  1. 2019Priority to unemployed immigrants? A causal machine learning evaluation of training in Belgiumcited by 5
  2. 2025The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Offcited by 5
  3. 2020Robust Optimization with Decision-Dependent Information Discoverycited by 4
  4. 2024Decision-Focused Evaluation of Worst-Case Distribution Shiftcited by 4
  5. 2024Comparing Targeting Strategies for Maximizing Social Welfare with Limited Resourcescited by 4
  6. 2025Bridging Prediction and Intervention Problems in Social Systemscited by 2
  7. 2025Who Pays the RENT? Implications of Spatial Inequality for Prediction-Based Allocation Policiescited by 2
  8. 2026Good Allocations from Bad Estimatescited by 2

Built on by

Not cited yet.