Journey to the Centre of Cluster: Harnessing Interior Nodes for A/B Testing under Network Interference
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Abstract (arXiv)
A/B testing on platforms often faces challenges from network interference, where a unit's outcome depends not only on its own treatment but also on the treatments of its network neighbors. To address this, cluster-level randomization has become standard, enabling the use of network-aware estimators. These estimators typically trim the data to retain only a subset of informative units, achieving low bias under suitable conditions but often suffering from high variance. In this paper, we first demonstrate that the interior nodes - units whose neighbors all lie within the same cluster - constitute the vast majority of the post-trimming subpopulation. In light of this, we propose directly averaging over the interior nodes to construct the mean-in-interior (MII) estimator, which circumvents the delicate reweighting required by existing network-aware estimators and substantially reduces variance in classical settings. However, we show that interior nodes are often not representative of the full population, particularly in terms of network-dependent covariates, leading to notable bias. We then augment the MII estimator with a counterfactual predictor trained on the entire network, allowing us to adjust for covariate distribution shifts between the interior nodes and full population. By rearranging the expression, we reveal that our augmented MII estimator embodies an analytical form of the point estimator within prediction-powered inference framework. This insight motivates a semi-supervised lens, wherein interior nodes are treated as labeled data subject to selection bias. Extensive and challenging simulation studies demonstrate the outstanding performance of our augmented MII estimator across various settings.
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References · 22
- 2016Convolutional Neural Networks on Graphs with Fast Localized Spectral Filteringcited by 2,085
- 2023Prediction-Powered Inferencecited by 214
- 2023PPI++: Efficient Prediction-Powered Inferencecited by 103
- 2016Identification and estimation of treatment and interference effects in observational studies on networkscited by 43
- 2013Graph cluster randomization: network exposure to multiple universescited by 42
- 2014Design and analysis of experiments in networks: Reducing bias from interferencecited by 41
- 2019Causal Inference Under Interference And Network Uncertaintycited by 27
- 2022Estimating Total Treatment Effect in Randomized Experiments with Unknown Network Structurecited by 18
- 2020Randomized Graph Cluster Randomizationcited by 14
- 2023Causal clustering: design of cluster experiments under network interferencecited by 10
- 2015Model-assisted design of experiments in the presence of network correlated outcomescited by 9
- 2021Design and Analysis of Bipartite Experiments under a Linear Exposure-Response Modelcited by 9
10 more
- 2022Staggered Rollout Designs Enable Causal Inference Under Interference Without Network Knowledgecited by 8
- 2020Cluster-Adaptive Network A/B Testing: From Randomization to Estimationcited by 6
- 2022Cluster Randomized Designs for One-Sided Bipartite Experimentscited by 6
- 2022Graph Neural Networks for Causal Inference Under Network Confoundingcited by 6
- 2018A systematic investigation of classical causal inference strategies under mis-specification due to network interferencecited by 4
- 2024Higher-Order Causal Message Passing for Experimentation with Complex Interferencecited by 4
- 2023Optimized Covariance Design for AB Test on Social Network under Interferencecited by 3
- 2023Independent-Set Design of Experiments for Estimating Treatment and Spillover Effects under Network Interferencecited by 3
- 2024The Conflict Graph Design: Estimating Causal Effects under Arbitrary Neighborhood Interferencecited by 2
- 2024Just Ramp-up: Unleash the Potential of Regression-based Estimator for A/B Tests under Network Interferencecited by 1
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